Insights
Election intelligence that starts at the polling unit.
Evidence-led briefings on Nigeria’s candidate field, polling-unit results and election records. Every analysis states its source, scope and limits. Only INEC declares official results.
2026 election evidence
Results, transparency and election costs
How Nigeria can cut ballot-paper costs by ₦10.36 billion without disenfranchising voters
Polling-unit evidence from five 2026 by-elections, a model of INEC’s proposed 2027 ballot budget and a staged-production alternative that preserves full voter entitlement.
Read the analysis → 21 September 2026 · Public reportBy-election Results and Transparency Report
Five contests, 1,639 polling-unit results. Compare the count with INEC’s reported declarations, explore turnout and voting patterns, and examine conflicting and replacement result sheets.
Read the report →2027 elections
Election landscape
Nigeria registered voters by state in 2026: full ranking and growth since 2023
Compare all 36 states and the FCT by percentage growth, net increase and latest register, with geopolitical-zone and North–South totals.
Explore the analysis → 2027 · methodologyAPC has the most academically qualified candidates in Nigeria’s 2027 legislative field
APC’s 334 degree-or-above records are 72.0% of its 464 resolved records. See the full 22-party ranking, classification rules, HND recode and limits behind the finding.
Read the analysis → 2027 · presidential fieldWhere Nigeria’s 2027 Presidential Tickets Come From: A Geopolitical Zone Breakdown
A geopolitical-zone analysis of 36 presidential and vice-presidential nominees across 18 tickets, with candidate-by-candidate sourcing.
Read the briefing → 2027 · National AssemblyWhich Current Nigerian Lawmakers Appear on the 2027 Ballot?
Mundx checked all 467 names on the supplied NALTF Senate and House rosters against INEC’s final candidate lists. See the 336 names with a match—and the 131 without one.
Read the briefing →2023 elections
Briefings
IReV puts LP ahead in Rivers East and Obio/Akpor. INEC declared PDP.
Mundx counted the polling-unit result sheets available on IReV for both National Assembly contests, then modelled Rivers East’s missing units to test whether incomplete coverage could change the leader.
Read the investigation → 30 September 2026 · Investigation24 result sheets. One iPhone profile. Timestamps before polls opened.
Twenty-four Ikeduru/Mbaitoli supplementary result-sheet photographs share an iPhone 13 and iOS 16.4.1 metadata profile, a common-looking background and 8,081 valid votes.
Read the investigation → 01 · 2023 presidentialHalf of Tinubu’s votes came from 14% of polling units. Half of Kwankwaso’s came from 1.5%.
Polling-unit results from the 2023 presidential election on IReV, ranking units by the votes they gave each candidate and measuring how many units it took to reach half of that candidate’s national total.
Read the briefing → 02 · 2023 presidentialLP took 88% of one-party polling units. Most sat in the South East.
Polling-unit results from the 2023 presidential election on IReV, counting units where one of APC, LP, PDP or NNPP took 90% or more of that four-party vote.
Read the briefing → 03 · 2023 presidentialAPC led at schools. LP led at halls. PDP led at gates.
Polling-unit results from the 2023 presidential election on IReV, grouped by the type of place named as the polling unit — including schools, halls and gates.
Read the briefing → 04 · 2023 presidentialLP led in city centres. APC led in towns and villages.
Polling-unit results from the 2023 presidential election on IReV, classified as city centre, town or village.
Read the briefing → 05 · 2023 governorshipThe 2023 governorship drew 3.25 million more valid votes than the presidential in the same 31 states.
State valid-vote totals from every governorship held in calendar 2023, compared with the presidential valid-vote total in those same states. Anambra, Edo, Ekiti, Osun, Ondo and the FCT are out of this file.
Read the briefing → 06 · 2023 presidentialBVAS or phones? What metadata in Nigeria’s presidential result sheets shows.
A nationwide audit of 164,659 accessible polling-unit result records found EMP2920/BVAS metadata in 32.2%, another identifiable model in 30.6%, and no recoverable model in 37.2%.
Read the device audit →Plan a deployment
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