The EC8D reproduction
The state values reproduce the collation result for the four named parties. Grade B reflects a corroborated table without a direct scanned EC8D form in the current register.
Final state result · North West · Two-layer record
Sokoto 2023 presidential election result
The reproduced Sokoto EC8D collation records PDP first with 288,679 votes and APC second with 285,444. The declared margin was 3,235 votes. Mundx presents that state declaration beside, but never merged with, a four-party polling-unit research layer.
Result of record: the reproduced state collation. Research evidence: selected PU observations for APC, LP, PDP and NNPP under a documented policy.
Sokoto reconciliation
Declared totals beside selected PU observations
The declared four-party collation totals 581,991. The canonical PU layer totals 495,073, which is 85.1% of the declared figure and 86,918 below it.
| Party / scope | Declared collation | PU rollup | Declared minus PU | PU as % declared |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APC | 285,444 | 240,646 | +44,798 | 84.3% |
| LP | 6,568 | 12,184 | -5,616 | 185.5% |
| PDP | 288,679 | 231,888 | +56,791 | 80.3% |
| NNPP | 1,300 | 10,355 | -9,055 | 796.5% |
| Four-party total | 581,991 | 495,073 | +86,918 | 85.1% |
The difference is descriptive, not causal. “Declared minus canonical PU” equals +86,918 for the four tracked parties. It must not be relabelled as missing votes, invalid votes or fraud: the two layers were created at different stages, and the available record does not establish a single cause.
Local evidence
Polling-unit rollups across 23 Sokoto LGAs
These rows are calculated from selected polling-unit records, not declared LGA collation totals. APC leads 15 and PDP leads 8 of the 23 local rollups. Each LGA name opens its permanent place page with ward and polling-unit context.
| LGA | PU leader | APC | LP | PDP | NNPP | Four-party | PUs represented |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Binji | APC | 9,275 | 14 | 8,008 | 22 | 17,319 | 85 / 85 |
| Bodinga | APC | 14,174 | 174 | 11,574 | 2,535 | 28,457 | 181 / 181 |
| Dange/Shuni | APC | 6,334 | 4,314 | 4,614 | 1,063 | 16,325 | 194 / 194 |
| Gada | APC | 13,507 | 30 | 13,391 | 1,223 | 28,151 | 239 / 239 |
| Goronyo | PDP | 9,277 | 1,031 | 9,664 | 1,096 | 21,068 | 172 / 172 |
| Gudu | APC | 10,884 | 22 | 9,072 | 74 | 20,052 | 90 / 90 |
| Gwadabawa | APC | 8,330 | 69 | 6,898 | 52 | 15,349 | 186 / 186 |
| Illela | APC | 12,968 | 78 | 12,310 | 77 | 25,433 | 210 / 210 |
| Isa | PDP | 9,386 | 4 | 12,419 | 21 | 21,830 | 146 / 146 |
| Kebbe | PDP | 5,239 | 3 | 6,101 | 6 | 11,349 | 113 / 113 |
| Kware | PDP | 7,392 | 44 | 8,563 | 8 | 16,007 | 153 / 153 |
| Rabah | APC | 5,267 | 4 | 5,119 | 59 | 10,449 | 126 / 126 |
| S/Birni | APC | 14,240 | 24 | 12,672 | 42 | 26,978 | 232 / 232 |
| Shagari | PDP | 10,177 | 2 | 11,685 | 55 | 21,919 | 148 / 148 |
| Silame | PDP | 6,411 | 2 | 7,492 | 19 | 13,924 | 101 / 101 |
| Sokoto North | APC | 14,796 | 494 | 14,072 | 641 | 30,003 | 289 / 289 |
| Sokoto South | APC | 20,480 | 5,282 | 17,508 | 2,565 | 45,835 | 341 / 341 |
| Tambuwal | PDP | 10,195 | 27 | 16,282 | 112 | 26,616 | 259 / 259 |
| Tangaza | APC | 9,079 | 32 | 5,489 | 26 | 14,626 | 139 / 139 |
| Tureta | PDP | 5,702 | 0 | 6,146 | 8 | 11,856 | 82 / 82 |
| Wamakko | APC | 21,910 | 495 | 18,610 | 125 | 41,140 | 259 / 259 |
| Wurno | APC | 8,573 | 24 | 7,429 | 4 | 16,030 | 132 / 132 |
| Yabo | APC | 7,050 | 15 | 6,770 | 522 | 14,357 | 114 / 114 |
Largest local rollups
Five LGAs in Sokoto context
The notes restate the largest local aggregations in prose so their leader, margin and evidence coverage remain legible outside the table. A PU-layer lead is not an official LGA declaration.
- Sokoto South: APC leads the selected four-party rollup with 20,480 votes, 2,972 ahead of PDP. The local total is 45,835 across 341 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
- Wamakko: APC leads the selected four-party rollup with 21,910 votes, 3,300 ahead of PDP. The local total is 41,140 across 259 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
- Sokoto North: APC leads the selected four-party rollup with 14,796 votes, 724 ahead of PDP. The local total is 30,003 across 289 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
- Bodinga: APC leads the selected four-party rollup with 14,174 votes, 2,600 ahead of PDP. The local total is 28,457 across 181 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
- Gada: APC leads the selected four-party rollup with 13,507 votes, 116 ahead of PDP. The local total is 28,151 across 239 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
Reading the Sokoto record
One contest, two evidence layers
The canonical PU layer
All 3,991 polling units in the inventory have a selected four-party observation. Representation does not authenticate each observation, restore the other fourteen parties or reproduce later collation decisions.
The LGA evidence directory
Sokoto South has the largest local rollup at 45,835. In Gada, APC leads PDP by 116 in the closest proportional margin.
Coverage needs a denominator. The least complete local record is Binji at 100.0% of its inventory. Cite represented and inventory counts when an LGA has unresolved records. Full representation still does not make the rollup an official declaration.
Questions this page answers
Sokoto result notes
Who led Sokoto in the declared result?
PDP led with 288,679 votes. APC followed on 285,444, a margin of 3,235. The four tracked parties total 581,991; that subtotal is not the complete eighteen-party vote.
What does the local pattern show?
APC leads 15 and PDP leads 8 of the 23 LGA rollups. State-wide, APC leads the PU layer with 240,646 of 495,073 four-party votes, 8,758 ahead of PDP. This does not revise the declared leader.
Why can the declared and PU totals differ?
EC8D is a state collation product. Mundx selects complete four-party PU observations, prioritising CCIJ records and then Mark Essien fallbacks. Scope, availability, transcription and later collation steps can differ. The comparison identifies questions; it does not prove a cause.
How should this page be cited?
Use this permanent URL for the Sokoto declaration and comparison. Name the layer, year and review date. Cite an LGA place record for a local PU claim, and do not call its PU leader a declared winner without a traceable local collation source.
Provenance
What is official, and what Mundx calculated
The declared layer comes from INEC's result collection and a contemporaneous reproduction of the collation table. It is a collation product, not a sum recreated by Mundx.
Mundx's second layer is a four-party aggregation of selected polling-unit observations. It applies policy all-complete-ccij-first-v1: complete CCIJ records take precedence, then complete Mark Essien records fill remaining units.
- INEC 2023 presidential IReV record.
- State/FCT collation reproduction.
- 176,409 represented units from an inventory of 176,846; 437 remain unresolved nationally.
Canonical PU policy all-complete-ccij-first-v1 · CCIJ commit e38e3bc9a22a
Reuse boundary. Mundx Analytics confirms permission to publish and redistribute the source-derived records in this release. No standard open-data licence or third-party bulk-reuse terms are specified.
Published by Mundx Analytics · reviewed by Mundx Analytics Data Team on 22 September 2026 · official sources retrieved 2026-08-20.