The EC8D reproduction
The state values reproduce the collation result for the four named parties. Grade B reflects a corroborated table without a direct scanned EC8D form in the current register.
Final state result · South South · Two-layer record
Delta 2023 presidential election result
The reproduced Delta EC8D collation records LP first with 341,866 votes and PDP second with 161,600. The declared margin was 180,266 votes. Mundx presents that state declaration beside, but never merged with, a four-party polling-unit research layer.
Result of record: the reproduced state collation. Research evidence: selected PU observations for APC, LP, PDP and NNPP under a documented policy.
Delta reconciliation
Declared totals beside selected PU observations
The declared four-party collation totals 596,771. The canonical PU layer totals 528,083, which is 88.5% of the declared figure and 68,688 below it.
| Party / scope | Declared collation | PU rollup | Declared minus PU | PU as % declared |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APC | 90,183 | 99,674 | -9,491 | 110.5% |
| LP | 341,866 | 276,606 | +65,260 | 80.9% |
| PDP | 161,600 | 132,486 | +29,114 | 82.0% |
| NNPP | 3,122 | 19,317 | -16,195 | 618.7% |
| Four-party total | 596,771 | 528,083 | +68,688 | 88.5% |
The difference is descriptive, not causal. “Declared minus canonical PU” equals +68,688 for the four tracked parties. It must not be relabelled as missing votes, invalid votes or fraud: the two layers were created at different stages, and the available record does not establish a single cause.
Local evidence
Polling-unit rollups across 25 Delta LGAs
These rows are calculated from selected polling-unit records, not declared LGA collation totals. APC leads 4, LP leads 17 and PDP leads 4 of the 25 local rollups. Each LGA name opens its permanent place page with ward and polling-unit context.
| LGA | PU leader | APC | LP | PDP | NNPP | Four-party | PUs represented |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aniocha - South | LP | 1,624 | 13,879 | 4,681 | 136 | 20,320 | 190 / 190 |
| Aniocha North | APC | 3,813 | 889 | 313 | 2,313 | 7,328 | 153 / 153 |
| Bomadi | APC | 3,332 | 2,655 | 3,118 | 1,212 | 10,317 | 192 / 192 |
| Burutu | PDP | 5,939 | 5,854 | 7,245 | 1,115 | 20,153 | 233 / 233 |
| Ethiope East | LP | 5,050 | 8,975 | 6,504 | 500 | 21,029 | 220 / 220 |
| Ethiope West | LP | 3,706 | 9,482 | 6,002 | 282 | 19,472 | 220 / 220 |
| Ika - South | LP | 3,191 | 17,237 | 7,453 | 245 | 28,126 | 169 / 169 |
| Ika North- East | PDP | 1,051 | 5,923 | 12,038 | 86 | 19,098 | 238 / 238 |
| Isoko North | LP | 4,159 | 17,166 | 8,257 | 747 | 30,329 | 264 / 264 |
| Isoko South | LP | 5,047 | 17,043 | 6,550 | 164 | 28,804 | 257 / 257 |
| Ndokwa East | LP | 4,308 | 6,342 | 4,454 | 1,896 | 17,000 | 158 / 158 |
| Ndokwa West | LP | 3,506 | 12,235 | 7,739 | 156 | 23,636 | 203 / 203 |
| Okpe | LP | 4,618 | 10,476 | 8,091 | 54 | 23,239 | 236 / 236 |
| Oshimili - North | LP | 1,663 | 14,853 | 4,644 | 137 | 21,297 | 165 / 165 |
| Oshimili - South | LP | 2,182 | 23,589 | 1,494 | 927 | 28,192 | 319 / 319 |
| Patani | APC | 2,929 | 2,238 | 2,914 | 41 | 8,122 | 99 / 99 |
| Sapele | LP | 5,690 | 6,807 | 3,114 | 3,301 | 18,912 | 268 / 268 |
| Udu | LP | 4,380 | 16,314 | 4,232 | 100 | 25,026 | 265 / 265 |
| Ughelli North | LP | 9,309 | 20,402 | 8,065 | 175 | 37,951 | 400 / 400 |
| Ughelli South | PDP | 8,585 | 9,614 | 10,083 | 187 | 28,469 | 244 / 244 |
| Ukwuani | LP | 2,039 | 7,716 | 4,901 | 96 | 14,752 | 168 / 168 |
| Uvwie | LP | 4,244 | 30,616 | 3,134 | 1,197 | 39,191 | 327 / 327 |
| Warri North | PDP | 1,159 | 2,260 | 3,225 | 60 | 6,704 | 192 / 192 |
| Warri South | LP | 4,103 | 11,626 | 1,250 | 2,212 | 19,191 | 351 / 351 |
| Warri South West | APC | 4,047 | 2,415 | 2,985 | 1,978 | 11,425 | 332 / 332 |
Largest local rollups
Five LGAs in Delta context
The notes restate the largest local aggregations in prose so their leader, margin and evidence coverage remain legible outside the table. A PU-layer lead is not an official LGA declaration.
- Uvwie: LP leads the selected four-party rollup with 30,616 votes, 26,372 ahead of APC. The local total is 39,191 across 327 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
- Ughelli North: LP leads the selected four-party rollup with 20,402 votes, 11,093 ahead of APC. The local total is 37,951 across 400 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
- Isoko North: LP leads the selected four-party rollup with 17,166 votes, 8,909 ahead of PDP. The local total is 30,329 across 264 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
- Isoko South: LP leads the selected four-party rollup with 17,043 votes, 10,493 ahead of PDP. The local total is 28,804 across 257 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
- Ughelli South: PDP leads the selected four-party rollup with 10,083 votes, 469 ahead of LP. The local total is 28,469 across 244 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
Reading the Delta record
One contest, two evidence layers
The canonical PU layer
All 5,863 polling units in the inventory have a selected four-party observation. Representation does not authenticate each observation, restore the other fourteen parties or reproduce later collation decisions.
The LGA evidence directory
Uvwie has the largest local rollup at 39,191. In Patani, APC leads PDP by 15 in the closest proportional margin.
Coverage needs a denominator. The least complete local record is Aniocha - South at 100.0% of its inventory. Cite represented and inventory counts when an LGA has unresolved records. Full representation still does not make the rollup an official declaration.
Questions this page answers
Delta result notes
Who led Delta in the declared result?
LP led with 341,866 votes. PDP followed on 161,600, a margin of 180,266. The four tracked parties total 596,771; that subtotal is not the complete eighteen-party vote.
What does the local pattern show?
APC leads 4, LP leads 17 and PDP leads 4 of the 25 LGA rollups. State-wide, LP leads the PU layer with 276,606 of 528,083 four-party votes, 144,120 ahead of PDP. This does not revise the declared leader.
Why can the declared and PU totals differ?
EC8D is a state collation product. Mundx selects complete four-party PU observations, prioritising CCIJ records and then Mark Essien fallbacks. Scope, availability, transcription and later collation steps can differ. The comparison identifies questions; it does not prove a cause.
How should this page be cited?
Use this permanent URL for the Delta declaration and comparison. Name the layer, year and review date. Cite an LGA place record for a local PU claim, and do not call its PU leader a declared winner without a traceable local collation source.
Provenance
What is official, and what Mundx calculated
The declared layer comes from INEC's result collection and a contemporaneous reproduction of the collation table. It is a collation product, not a sum recreated by Mundx.
Mundx's second layer is a four-party aggregation of selected polling-unit observations. It applies policy all-complete-ccij-first-v1: complete CCIJ records take precedence, then complete Mark Essien records fill remaining units.
- INEC 2023 presidential IReV record.
- State/FCT collation reproduction.
- 176,409 represented units from an inventory of 176,846; 437 remain unresolved nationally.
Canonical PU policy all-complete-ccij-first-v1 · CCIJ commit e38e3bc9a22a
Reuse boundary. Mundx Analytics confirms permission to publish and redistribute the source-derived records in this release. No standard open-data licence or third-party bulk-reuse terms are specified.
Published by Mundx Analytics · reviewed by Mundx Analytics Data Team on 22 September 2026 · official sources retrieved 2026-08-20.