The EC8D reproduction
The state values reproduce the collation result for the four named parties. Grade B reflects a corroborated table without a direct scanned EC8D form in the current register.
Final state result · North East · Two-layer record
Bauchi 2023 presidential election result
The reproduced Bauchi EC8D collation records PDP first with 426,607 votes and APC second with 316,694. The declared margin was 109,913 votes. Mundx presents that state declaration beside, but never merged with, a four-party polling-unit research layer.
Result of record: the reproduced state collation. Research evidence: selected PU observations for APC, LP, PDP and NNPP under a documented policy.
Bauchi reconciliation
Declared totals beside selected PU observations
The declared four-party collation totals 842,777. The canonical PU layer totals 790,024, which is 93.7% of the declared figure and 52,753 below it.
| Party / scope | Declared collation | PU rollup | Declared minus PU | PU as % declared |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APC | 316,694 | 288,047 | +28,647 | 91.0% |
| LP | 27,373 | 29,705 | -2,332 | 108.5% |
| PDP | 426,607 | 402,881 | +23,726 | 94.4% |
| NNPP | 72,103 | 69,391 | +2,712 | 96.2% |
| Four-party total | 842,777 | 790,024 | +52,753 | 93.7% |
The difference is descriptive, not causal. “Declared minus canonical PU” equals +52,753 for the four tracked parties. It must not be relabelled as missing votes, invalid votes or fraud: the two layers were created at different stages, and the available record does not establish a single cause.
Local evidence
Polling-unit rollups across 20 Bauchi LGAs
These rows are calculated from selected polling-unit records, not declared LGA collation totals. APC leads 1 and PDP leads 19 of the 20 local rollups. Each LGA name opens its permanent place page with ward and polling-unit context.
| LGA | PU leader | APC | LP | PDP | NNPP | Four-party | PUs represented |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alkaleri | PDP | 12,906 | 130 | 24,901 | 1,235 | 39,172 | 300 / 300 |
| Bauchi | PDP | 45,024 | 8,322 | 68,877 | 3,704 | 125,927 | 894 / 894 |
| Bogoro | PDP | 4,329 | 5,600 | 13,549 | 722 | 24,200 | 119 / 119 |
| Dambam | PDP | 7,289 | 63 | 11,685 | 2,456 | 21,493 | 163 / 163 |
| Darazo | PDP | 15,427 | 52 | 16,998 | 1,818 | 34,295 | 270 / 270 |
| Dass | PDP | 10,396 | 730 | 12,951 | 473 | 24,550 | 116 / 116 |
| Gamawa | PDP | 13,463 | 80 | 14,601 | 4,765 | 32,909 | 289 / 289 |
| Ganjuwa | PDP | 12,903 | 275 | 17,295 | 4,238 | 34,711 | 253 / 253 |
| Giade | PDP | 9,744 | 39 | 11,129 | 3,739 | 24,651 | 145 / 145 |
| Itas/Gadau | APC | 11,840 | 823 | 11,697 | 6,352 | 30,712 | 235 / 235 |
| Jama'Are | PDP | 7,819 | 36 | 11,620 | 3,396 | 22,871 | 133 / 133 |
| Katagum | PDP | 19,664 | 499 | 21,643 | 9,766 | 51,572 | 364 / 364 |
| Kirfi | PDP | 9,341 | 51 | 13,101 | 1,503 | 23,996 | 154 / 154 |
| Misau | PDP | 13,962 | 84 | 17,634 | 3,978 | 35,658 | 256 / 256 |
| Ningi | PDP | 18,770 | 351 | 19,793 | 3,696 | 42,610 | 371 / 371 |
| Shira | PDP | 14,148 | 124 | 20,753 | 8,420 | 43,445 | 249 / 249 |
| Tafawa Balewa | PDP | 17,142 | 9,290 | 30,627 | 1,226 | 58,285 | 286 / 286 |
| Toro | PDP | 19,650 | 2,938 | 28,236 | 4,689 | 55,513 | 423 / 423 |
| Warji | PDP | 11,277 | 204 | 16,983 | 509 | 28,973 | 142 / 142 |
| Zaki | PDP | 12,953 | 14 | 18,808 | 2,706 | 34,481 | 261 / 261 |
Largest local rollups
Five LGAs in Bauchi context
The notes restate the largest local aggregations in prose so their leader, margin and evidence coverage remain legible outside the table. A PU-layer lead is not an official LGA declaration.
- Bauchi: PDP leads the selected four-party rollup with 68,877 votes, 23,853 ahead of APC. The local total is 125,927 across 894 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
- Tafawa Balewa: PDP leads the selected four-party rollup with 30,627 votes, 13,485 ahead of APC. The local total is 58,285 across 286 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
- Toro: PDP leads the selected four-party rollup with 28,236 votes, 8,586 ahead of APC. The local total is 55,513 across 423 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
- Katagum: PDP leads the selected four-party rollup with 21,643 votes, 1,979 ahead of APC. The local total is 51,572 across 364 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
- Shira: PDP leads the selected four-party rollup with 20,753 votes, 6,605 ahead of APC. The local total is 43,445 across 249 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
Reading the Bauchi record
One contest, two evidence layers
The canonical PU layer
All 5,423 polling units in the inventory have a selected four-party observation. Representation does not authenticate each observation, restore the other fourteen parties or reproduce later collation decisions.
The LGA evidence directory
Bauchi has the largest local rollup at 125,927. In Itas/Gadau, APC leads PDP by 143 in the closest proportional margin.
Coverage needs a denominator. The least complete local record is Alkaleri at 100.0% of its inventory. Cite represented and inventory counts when an LGA has unresolved records. Full representation still does not make the rollup an official declaration.
Questions this page answers
Bauchi result notes
Who led Bauchi in the declared result?
PDP led with 426,607 votes. APC followed on 316,694, a margin of 109,913. The four tracked parties total 842,777; that subtotal is not the complete eighteen-party vote.
What does the local pattern show?
APC leads 1 and PDP leads 19 of the 20 LGA rollups. State-wide, PDP leads the PU layer with 402,881 of 790,024 four-party votes, 114,834 ahead of APC. This does not revise the declared leader.
Why can the declared and PU totals differ?
EC8D is a state collation product. Mundx selects complete four-party PU observations, prioritising CCIJ records and then Mark Essien fallbacks. Scope, availability, transcription and later collation steps can differ. The comparison identifies questions; it does not prove a cause.
How should this page be cited?
Use this permanent URL for the Bauchi declaration and comparison. Name the layer, year and review date. Cite an LGA place record for a local PU claim, and do not call its PU leader a declared winner without a traceable local collation source.
Provenance
What is official, and what Mundx calculated
The declared layer comes from INEC's result collection and a contemporaneous reproduction of the collation table. It is a collation product, not a sum recreated by Mundx.
Mundx's second layer is a four-party aggregation of selected polling-unit observations. It applies policy all-complete-ccij-first-v1: complete CCIJ records take precedence, then complete Mark Essien records fill remaining units.
- INEC 2023 presidential IReV record.
- State/FCT collation reproduction.
- 176,409 represented units from an inventory of 176,846; 437 remain unresolved nationally.
Canonical PU policy all-complete-ccij-first-v1 · CCIJ commit e38e3bc9a22a
Reuse boundary. Mundx Analytics confirms permission to publish and redistribute the source-derived records in this release. No standard open-data licence or third-party bulk-reuse terms are specified.
Published by Mundx Analytics · reviewed by Mundx Analytics Data Team on 22 September 2026 · official sources retrieved 2026-08-20.