The EC8D reproduction
The state values reproduce the collation result for the four named parties. Grade B reflects a corroborated table without a direct scanned EC8D form in the current register.
Final state result · North East · Two-layer record
Yobe 2023 presidential election result
The reproduced Yobe EC8D collation records PDP first with 198,567 votes and APC second with 151,459. The declared margin was 47,108 votes. Mundx presents that state declaration beside, but never merged with, a four-party polling-unit research layer.
Result of record: the reproduced state collation. Research evidence: selected PU observations for APC, LP, PDP and NNPP under a documented policy.
Yobe reconciliation
Declared totals beside selected PU observations
The declared four-party collation totals 370,702. The canonical PU layer totals 316,971, which is 85.5% of the declared figure and 53,731 below it.
| Party / scope | Declared collation | PU rollup | Declared minus PU | PU as % declared |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APC | 151,459 | 132,113 | +19,346 | 87.2% |
| LP | 2,406 | 3,318 | -912 | 137.9% |
| PDP | 198,567 | 161,169 | +37,398 | 81.2% |
| NNPP | 18,270 | 20,371 | -2,101 | 111.5% |
| Four-party total | 370,702 | 316,971 | +53,731 | 85.5% |
The difference is descriptive, not causal. “Declared minus canonical PU” equals +53,731 for the four tracked parties. It must not be relabelled as missing votes, invalid votes or fraud: the two layers were created at different stages, and the available record does not establish a single cause.
Local evidence
Polling-unit rollups across 17 Yobe LGAs
These rows are calculated from selected polling-unit records, not declared LGA collation totals. APC leads 8 and PDP leads 9 of the 17 local rollups. Each LGA name opens its permanent place page with ward and polling-unit context.
| LGA | PU leader | APC | LP | PDP | NNPP | Four-party | PUs represented |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bade | PDP | 7,397 | 207 | 13,521 | 2,819 | 23,944 | 210 / 210 |
| Bursari | APC | 5,119 | 14 | 4,980 | 168 | 10,281 | 128 / 128 |
| Damaturu | PDP | 5,328 | 1,778 | 11,121 | 403 | 18,630 | 221 / 221 |
| Fika | PDP | 8,898 | 222 | 14,163 | 210 | 23,493 | 200 / 200 |
| Fune | PDP | 9,983 | 58 | 14,401 | 576 | 25,018 | 242 / 242 |
| Geidam | APC | 4,836 | 8 | 4,778 | 494 | 10,116 | 154 / 154 |
| Gujba | PDP | 5,996 | 22 | 7,254 | 178 | 13,450 | 140 / 140 |
| Gulani | APC | 9,021 | 23 | 8,073 | 1,377 | 18,494 | 131 / 131 |
| Jakusko | PDP | 5,629 | 17 | 6,348 | 1,362 | 13,356 | 161 / 161 |
| Karasawa | APC | 9,010 | 45 | 5,799 | 1,705 | 16,559 | 121 / 121 |
| Machina | APC | 7,115 | 25 | 3,333 | 667 | 11,140 | 91 / 91 |
| Nangere | PDP | 7,050 | 124 | 14,241 | 441 | 21,856 | 169 / 169 |
| Nguru | PDP | 9,294 | 297 | 11,333 | 3,267 | 24,191 | 182 / 182 |
| Potiskum | PDP | 13,436 | 438 | 31,528 | 2,840 | 48,242 | 328 / 328 |
| Tarmuwa | APC | 3,521 | 10 | 2,852 | 86 | 6,469 | 84 / 84 |
| Yunusari | APC | 9,367 | 10 | 3,057 | 1,958 | 14,392 | 134 / 134 |
| Yusufari | APC | 11,113 | 20 | 4,387 | 1,820 | 17,340 | 127 / 127 |
Largest local rollups
Five LGAs in Yobe context
The notes restate the largest local aggregations in prose so their leader, margin and evidence coverage remain legible outside the table. A PU-layer lead is not an official LGA declaration.
- Potiskum: PDP leads the selected four-party rollup with 31,528 votes, 18,092 ahead of APC. The local total is 48,242 across 328 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
- Fune: PDP leads the selected four-party rollup with 14,401 votes, 4,418 ahead of APC. The local total is 25,018 across 242 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
- Nguru: PDP leads the selected four-party rollup with 11,333 votes, 2,039 ahead of APC. The local total is 24,191 across 182 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
- Bade: PDP leads the selected four-party rollup with 13,521 votes, 6,124 ahead of APC. The local total is 23,944 across 210 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
- Fika: PDP leads the selected four-party rollup with 14,163 votes, 5,265 ahead of APC. The local total is 23,493 across 200 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
Reading the Yobe record
One contest, two evidence layers
The canonical PU layer
All 2,823 polling units in the inventory have a selected four-party observation. Representation does not authenticate each observation, restore the other fourteen parties or reproduce later collation decisions.
The LGA evidence directory
Potiskum has the largest local rollup at 48,242. In Geidam, APC leads PDP by 58 in the closest proportional margin.
Coverage needs a denominator. The least complete local record is Bade at 100.0% of its inventory. Cite represented and inventory counts when an LGA has unresolved records. Full representation still does not make the rollup an official declaration.
Questions this page answers
Yobe result notes
Who led Yobe in the declared result?
PDP led with 198,567 votes. APC followed on 151,459, a margin of 47,108. The four tracked parties total 370,702; that subtotal is not the complete eighteen-party vote.
What does the local pattern show?
APC leads 8 and PDP leads 9 of the 17 LGA rollups. State-wide, PDP leads the PU layer with 161,169 of 316,971 four-party votes, 29,056 ahead of APC. This does not revise the declared leader.
Why can the declared and PU totals differ?
EC8D is a state collation product. Mundx selects complete four-party PU observations, prioritising CCIJ records and then Mark Essien fallbacks. Scope, availability, transcription and later collation steps can differ. The comparison identifies questions; it does not prove a cause.
How should this page be cited?
Use this permanent URL for the Yobe declaration and comparison. Name the layer, year and review date. Cite an LGA place record for a local PU claim, and do not call its PU leader a declared winner without a traceable local collation source.
Provenance
What is official, and what Mundx calculated
The declared layer comes from INEC's result collection and a contemporaneous reproduction of the collation table. It is a collation product, not a sum recreated by Mundx.
Mundx's second layer is a four-party aggregation of selected polling-unit observations. It applies policy all-complete-ccij-first-v1: complete CCIJ records take precedence, then complete Mark Essien records fill remaining units.
- INEC 2023 presidential IReV record.
- State/FCT collation reproduction.
- 176,409 represented units from an inventory of 176,846; 437 remain unresolved nationally.
Canonical PU policy all-complete-ccij-first-v1 · CCIJ commit e38e3bc9a22a
Reuse boundary. Mundx Analytics confirms permission to publish and redistribute the source-derived records in this release. No standard open-data licence or third-party bulk-reuse terms are specified.
Published by Mundx Analytics · reviewed by Mundx Analytics Data Team on 22 September 2026 · official sources retrieved 2026-08-20.