The EC8D reproduction
The state values reproduce the collation result for the four named parties. Grade B reflects a corroborated table without a direct scanned EC8D form in the current register.
Final state result · North Central · Two-layer record
Kogi 2023 presidential election result
The reproduced Kogi EC8D collation records APC first with 240,751 votes and PDP second with 145,104. The declared margin was 95,647 votes. Mundx presents that state declaration beside, but never merged with, a four-party polling-unit research layer.
Result of record: the reproduced state collation. Research evidence: selected PU observations for APC, LP, PDP and NNPP under a documented policy.
Kogi reconciliation
Declared totals beside selected PU observations
The declared four-party collation totals 446,310. The canonical PU layer totals 404,340, which is 90.6% of the declared figure and 41,970 below it.
| Party / scope | Declared collation | PU rollup | Declared minus PU | PU as % declared |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APC | 240,751 | 217,238 | +23,513 | 90.2% |
| LP | 56,217 | 48,918 | +7,299 | 87.0% |
| PDP | 145,104 | 125,331 | +19,773 | 86.4% |
| NNPP | 4,238 | 12,853 | -8,615 | 303.3% |
| Four-party total | 446,310 | 404,340 | +41,970 | 90.6% |
The difference is descriptive, not causal. “Declared minus canonical PU” equals +41,970 for the four tracked parties. It must not be relabelled as missing votes, invalid votes or fraud: the two layers were created at different stages, and the available record does not establish a single cause.
Local evidence
Polling-unit rollups across 21 Kogi LGAs
These rows are calculated from selected polling-unit records, not declared LGA collation totals. APC leads 17, LP leads 1 and PDP leads 3 of the 21 local rollups. Each LGA name opens its permanent place page with ward and polling-unit context.
| LGA | PU leader | APC | LP | PDP | NNPP | Four-party | PUs represented |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adavi | APC | 11,825 | 556 | 8,511 | 892 | 21,784 | 217 / 217 |
| Ajaokuta | APC | 11,206 | 4,083 | 8,353 | 681 | 24,323 | 146 / 146 |
| Ankpa | APC | 17,921 | 6,052 | 12,815 | 2,407 | 39,195 | 292 / 292 |
| Bassa | PDP | 4,469 | 3,504 | 5,361 | 41 | 13,375 | 130 / 130 |
| Dekina | APC | 18,707 | 1,508 | 8,786 | 188 | 29,189 | 352 / 352 |
| Ibaji | LP | 5,677 | 6,565 | 5,988 | 128 | 18,358 | 174 / 174 |
| Idah | APC | 9,097 | 2,427 | 5,111 | 103 | 16,738 | 120 / 120 |
| Igalamela/Odolu | APC | 9,048 | 2,289 | 4,625 | 58 | 16,020 | 140 / 140 |
| Ijumu | APC | 9,937 | 841 | 4,162 | 23 | 14,963 | 121 / 121 |
| Kabba/Bunu | APC | 9,937 | 1,971 | 4,630 | 64 | 16,602 | 156 / 156 |
| Kogi . K. K. | APC | 13,278 | 901 | 8,163 | 1,406 | 23,748 | 105 / 105 |
| Lokoja | APC | 9,029 | 3,943 | 5,864 | 257 | 19,093 | 273 / 273 |
| Mopa Moro | APC | 4,589 | 679 | 2,176 | 12 | 7,456 | 53 / 53 |
| Ofu | APC | 15,098 | 1,702 | 6,175 | 198 | 23,173 | 184 / 184 |
| Ogori Mangogo | PDP | 1,751 | 652 | 1,811 | 5 | 4,219 | 67 / 67 |
| Okehi | PDP | 9,762 | 1,001 | 10,995 | 1,253 | 23,011 | 188 / 188 |
| Okene | APC | 25,012 | 903 | 6,263 | 4,156 | 36,334 | 284 / 284 |
| Olamaboro | APC | 7,368 | 4,706 | 3,395 | 604 | 16,073 | 174 / 174 |
| Omala | APC | 5,782 | 2,490 | 5,764 | 331 | 14,367 | 148 / 148 |
| Yagba East | APC | 10,771 | 1,060 | 2,785 | 22 | 14,638 | 82 / 82 |
| Yagba West | APC | 6,974 | 1,085 | 3,598 | 24 | 11,681 | 102 / 102 |
Largest local rollups
Five LGAs in Kogi context
The notes restate the largest local aggregations in prose so their leader, margin and evidence coverage remain legible outside the table. A PU-layer lead is not an official LGA declaration.
- Ankpa: APC leads the selected four-party rollup with 17,921 votes, 5,106 ahead of PDP. The local total is 39,195 across 292 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
- Okene: APC leads the selected four-party rollup with 25,012 votes, 18,749 ahead of PDP. The local total is 36,334 across 284 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
- Dekina: APC leads the selected four-party rollup with 18,707 votes, 9,921 ahead of PDP. The local total is 29,189 across 352 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
- Ajaokuta: APC leads the selected four-party rollup with 11,206 votes, 2,853 ahead of PDP. The local total is 24,323 across 146 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
- Kogi . K. K.: APC leads the selected four-party rollup with 13,278 votes, 5,115 ahead of PDP. The local total is 23,748 across 105 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
Reading the Kogi record
One contest, two evidence layers
The canonical PU layer
All 3,508 polling units in the inventory have a selected four-party observation. Representation does not authenticate each observation, restore the other fourteen parties or reproduce later collation decisions.
The LGA evidence directory
Ankpa has the largest local rollup at 39,195. In Omala, APC leads PDP by 18 in the closest proportional margin.
Coverage needs a denominator. The least complete local record is Adavi at 100.0% of its inventory. Cite represented and inventory counts when an LGA has unresolved records. Full representation still does not make the rollup an official declaration.
Questions this page answers
Kogi result notes
Who led Kogi in the declared result?
APC led with 240,751 votes. PDP followed on 145,104, a margin of 95,647. The four tracked parties total 446,310; that subtotal is not the complete eighteen-party vote.
What does the local pattern show?
APC leads 17, LP leads 1 and PDP leads 3 of the 21 LGA rollups. State-wide, APC leads the PU layer with 217,238 of 404,340 four-party votes, 91,907 ahead of PDP. This does not revise the declared leader.
Why can the declared and PU totals differ?
EC8D is a state collation product. Mundx selects complete four-party PU observations, prioritising CCIJ records and then Mark Essien fallbacks. Scope, availability, transcription and later collation steps can differ. The comparison identifies questions; it does not prove a cause.
How should this page be cited?
Use this permanent URL for the Kogi declaration and comparison. Name the layer, year and review date. Cite an LGA place record for a local PU claim, and do not call its PU leader a declared winner without a traceable local collation source.
Provenance
What is official, and what Mundx calculated
The declared layer comes from INEC's result collection and a contemporaneous reproduction of the collation table. It is a collation product, not a sum recreated by Mundx.
Mundx's second layer is a four-party aggregation of selected polling-unit observations. It applies policy all-complete-ccij-first-v1: complete CCIJ records take precedence, then complete Mark Essien records fill remaining units.
- INEC 2023 presidential IReV record.
- State/FCT collation reproduction.
- 176,409 represented units from an inventory of 176,846; 437 remain unresolved nationally.
Canonical PU policy all-complete-ccij-first-v1 · CCIJ commit e38e3bc9a22a
Reuse boundary. Mundx Analytics confirms permission to publish and redistribute the source-derived records in this release. No standard open-data licence or third-party bulk-reuse terms are specified.
Published by Mundx Analytics · reviewed by Mundx Analytics Data Team on 22 September 2026 · official sources retrieved 2026-08-20.