Local evidence record · Declaration unavailable

Abaji 2023 presidential election evidence

Mundx's selected polling-unit observations place APC first in Abaji's four-party aggregation with 10,115 votes, ahead of PDP by 3,381. This is not an official area council declaration. The current source register contains no separately sourced Abaji collation record, so the declared-result field remains unavailable.

Result layer
Canonical PU aggregation
Four-party leader
APC · 10,115
PUs represented
135 / 135
Declared area council result
Not in current source register

Evidence status: complete inventory representation for the four selected parties does not make these figures an EC8C, EC8D or other declared collation result.

Abaji PU layer

Four-party polling-unit aggregation

The selected records total 19,683 votes across APC, LP, PDP and NNPP. APC accounts for 51.4% of that four-party sum; PDP accounts for 34.2%.

Abaji canonical four-party polling-unit aggregation
PartySelected PU votesFour-party share
APC10,11551.4%
PDP6,73434.2%
LP2,73313.9%
NNPP1010.5%
Four-party total19,683100.0%
No declared comparison is shown. Mundx will add a declared column only when the source register contains a traceable area council collation record with its authority, form level, retrieval date and confidence.

Ward evidence

How the four-party pattern varies within Abaji

APC leads 8 and PDP leads 2 of the 10 ward rollups. Every row is calculated from selected PU observations and keeps the representation count beside the vote totals.

Canonical four-party polling-unit aggregation by Abaji ward
WardPU leaderAPCLPPDPNNPPFour-partyPUs represented
Abaji CentralAPC88180455131,4299 / 9
Abaji North EastAPC2,038512832223,40420 / 20
Abaji South EastAPC88692519171,51410 / 10
Agyana/PandagiPDP631444816121,90311 / 11
Alu MamagiAPC4822745699748 / 8
GawuAPC1,34037358342,30022 / 22
GurdiAPC7619036241,21712 / 12
NukuAPC1,4318111,115183,37520 / 20
Rimba EbagiAPC91911676121,79811 / 11
YabaPDP74618883501,76912 / 12

Largest ward rollups

Five local records in context

These notes restate the largest ward aggregates in prose so their leader, margin and representation remain readable outside the table.

  1. Abaji North East: APC leads with 2,038 of 3,404 four-party votes, a margin of 1,206 over PDP. The rollup represents 20 of 20 inventory units.
  2. Nuku: APC leads with 1,431 of 3,375 four-party votes, a margin of 316 over PDP. The rollup represents 20 of 20 inventory units.
  3. Gawu: APC leads with 1,340 of 2,300 four-party votes, a margin of 757 over PDP. The rollup represents 22 of 22 inventory units.
  4. Agyana/Pandagi: PDP leads with 816 of 1,903 four-party votes, a margin of 185 over APC. The rollup represents 11 of 11 inventory units.
  5. Rimba Ebagi: APC leads with 919 of 1,798 four-party votes, a margin of 158 over PDP. The rollup represents 11 of 11 inventory units.

Evidence beneath the wards

Largest represented polling-unit rollups

The ten rows below are ordered by four-party vote count. This is not a turnout ranking and does not imply official validation. The source label identifies which selected observation supplied the four party fields.

Ten largest represented polling-unit four-party rollups in Abaji
Polling unitWardPU leaderFour-party votesSelected source
37-01-05-004
Naharati Tsoho/Nharati Tsoho Primary School
Rimba EbagiAPC431CCIJ
37-01-02-006
Abaji Ne / Central Pry. School
Abaji North EastAPC386CCIJ
37-01-02-005
Ung. Mallam Mansur
Abaji North EastAPC317CCIJ
37-01-01-002
Ung. Manko/Kofar Unguwar Manko
Abaji CentralAPC291CCIJ
37-01-08-004
Kpace/Kpace Primary School
YabaPDP291CCIJ
37-01-04-002
Pandagi / Pandagi Primary School
Agyana/PandagiPDP277CCIJ
37-01-06-004
Manderegi/Manderegi Primary School
NukuAPC276CCIJ
37-01-04-003
Nanda / Nanda Primary School
Agyana/PandagiPDP273CCIJ
37-01-01-003
Ung. Liman/Kofar Unguwar Liman
Abaji CentralAPC267CCIJ
37-01-04-004
Kunguni / Kunguni Primary School
Agyana/PandagiPDP255CCIJ

How this record was built

From inventory to local aggregation

1 · Inventory

Fix the expected units

The INEC polling-unit register supplies stable territory or state, local, ward and unit codes. Abaji contains 135 inventory units in this snapshot, which prevents source rows from silently changing the denominator.

2 · Selection

Apply one policy

Complete CCIJ observations take precedence, followed by complete Mark Essien fallbacks. Abaji's selected records break down as CCIJ 130, MARK 5. The policy is deterministic and preserves the original source label.

3 · Aggregation

Sum without declaring

Party values are summed from PU to ward and area council. Missing observations stay visible instead of being estimated. In Abaji, 135 of 135 units are represented, while the scope still excludes fourteen parties.

What this rollout preserves. The page is designed to survive a later declared-result addition without changing its URL. A future collation record would appear as a separately sourced layer beside this aggregation; it would not overwrite the PU evidence, backfill a missing total, or turn the calculated ward table into an official document. Every future update should retain the review date and show which layer changed, so readers can distinguish new source evidence from a presentation revision. Keeping that contract stable now is more important than generating hundreds of local pages at once.

Questions this page answers

Abaji evidence notes

Did APC officially win Abaji?

This page does not make that claim. It says APC leads Mundx's four-party aggregation of selected polling-unit observations. A statement about the declared area council result requires a sourced collation record at the appropriate result layer.

What does representation mean?

It reports how many inventory units have a selected observation containing all four tracked party values. It does not establish sheet authenticity, capture all eighteen parties, or reproduce every correction made during collation.

Why preserve an unavailable field?

An explicit unavailable value is safer than promoting a calculated PU sum into an official result. It also makes future source work concrete: add the declared layer only with a form level, authority URL, retrieval date and documented confidence.

How is this different from the Abaji place page?

The permanent Abaji place record describes geography across cycles. This contest page is tied to the 2023 presidential election, its evidence layers and its source limitations. The URLs serve different questions and should not duplicate one another.

Provenance

What is official, and what Mundx calculated

The current source register does not contain a declared area council collation record for this geography. Mundx therefore leaves the declared layer empty instead of inferring one from polling units.

Mundx's second layer is a four-party aggregation of selected polling-unit observations. It applies policy all-complete-ccij-first-v1: complete CCIJ records take precedence, then complete Mark Essien records fill remaining units.

Canonical PU policy all-complete-ccij-first-v1 · CCIJ commit e38e3bc9a22a
Reuse boundary. Mundx Analytics confirms permission to publish and redistribute the source-derived records in this release. No standard open-data licence or third-party bulk-reuse terms are specified.

Published by Mundx Analytics · reviewed by Mundx Analytics Data Team on 22 September 2026 · official sources retrieved 2026-08-20.