The EC8D reproduction
The state values reproduce the collation result for the four named parties. Grade B reflects a corroborated table without a direct scanned EC8D form in the current register.
Final state result · North Central · Two-layer record
Nasarawa 2023 presidential election result
The reproduced Nasarawa EC8D collation records LP first with 191,361 votes and APC second with 172,922. The declared margin was 18,439 votes. Mundx presents that state declaration beside, but never merged with, a four-party polling-unit research layer.
Result of record: the reproduced state collation. Research evidence: selected PU observations for APC, LP, PDP and NNPP under a documented policy.
Nasarawa reconciliation
Declared totals beside selected PU observations
The declared four-party collation totals 524,091. The canonical PU layer totals 484,058, which is 92.4% of the declared figure and 40,033 below it.
| Party / scope | Declared collation | PU rollup | Declared minus PU | PU as % declared |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APC | 172,922 | 163,012 | +9,910 | 94.3% |
| LP | 191,361 | 175,425 | +15,936 | 91.7% |
| PDP | 147,093 | 129,076 | +18,017 | 87.8% |
| NNPP | 12,715 | 16,545 | -3,830 | 130.1% |
| Four-party total | 524,091 | 484,058 | +40,033 | 92.4% |
The difference is descriptive, not causal. “Declared minus canonical PU” equals +40,033 for the four tracked parties. It must not be relabelled as missing votes, invalid votes or fraud: the two layers were created at different stages, and the available record does not establish a single cause.
Local evidence
Polling-unit rollups across 13 Nasarawa LGAs
These rows are calculated from selected polling-unit records, not declared LGA collation totals. APC leads 8, LP leads 4 and PDP leads 1 of the 13 local rollups. Each LGA name opens its permanent place page with ward and polling-unit context.
| LGA | PU leader | APC | LP | PDP | NNPP | Four-party | PUs represented |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akwanga | LP | 10,414 | 17,717 | 5,836 | 678 | 34,645 | 206 / 206 |
| Awe | APC | 14,095 | 4,205 | 10,320 | 535 | 29,155 | 165 / 165 |
| Doma | PDP | 7,083 | 8,408 | 10,975 | 576 | 27,042 | 214 / 214 |
| Karu | LP | 14,478 | 53,469 | 15,119 | 2,016 | 85,082 | 516 / 516 |
| Keana | APC | 6,228 | 2,665 | 3,009 | 223 | 12,125 | 114 / 114 |
| Keffi | APC | 11,401 | 8,184 | 11,205 | 1,661 | 32,451 | 215 / 215 |
| Kokona | APC | 11,710 | 8,382 | 6,722 | 297 | 27,111 | 194 / 194 |
| Lafia | APC | 30,256 | 23,616 | 26,315 | 5,139 | 85,326 | 497 / 497 |
| Nasarawa | APC | 15,384 | 7,998 | 9,283 | 1,278 | 33,943 | 303 / 303 |
| Nasarawa Eggon | LP | 12,871 | 13,264 | 8,397 | 2,308 | 36,840 | 255 / 255 |
| Obi | LP | 10,270 | 18,255 | 11,722 | 919 | 41,166 | 251 / 251 |
| Toto | APC | 10,021 | 4,242 | 5,996 | 636 | 20,895 | 204 / 204 |
| Wamba | APC | 8,801 | 5,020 | 4,177 | 279 | 18,277 | 122 / 122 |
Largest local rollups
Five LGAs in Nasarawa context
The notes restate the largest local aggregations in prose so their leader, margin and evidence coverage remain legible outside the table. A PU-layer lead is not an official LGA declaration.
- Lafia: APC leads the selected four-party rollup with 30,256 votes, 3,941 ahead of PDP. The local total is 85,326 across 497 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
- Karu: LP leads the selected four-party rollup with 53,469 votes, 38,350 ahead of PDP. The local total is 85,082 across 516 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
- Obi: LP leads the selected four-party rollup with 18,255 votes, 6,533 ahead of PDP. The local total is 41,166 across 251 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
- Nasarawa Eggon: LP leads the selected four-party rollup with 13,264 votes, 393 ahead of APC. The local total is 36,840 across 255 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
- Akwanga: LP leads the selected four-party rollup with 17,717 votes, 7,303 ahead of APC. The local total is 34,645 across 206 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
Reading the Nasarawa record
One contest, two evidence layers
The canonical PU layer
All 3,256 polling units in the inventory have a selected four-party observation. Representation does not authenticate each observation, restore the other fourteen parties or reproduce later collation decisions.
The LGA evidence directory
Lafia has the largest local rollup at 85,326. In Keffi, APC leads PDP by 196 in the closest proportional margin.
Coverage needs a denominator. The least complete local record is Akwanga at 100.0% of its inventory. Cite represented and inventory counts when an LGA has unresolved records. Full representation still does not make the rollup an official declaration.
Questions this page answers
Nasarawa result notes
Who led Nasarawa in the declared result?
LP led with 191,361 votes. APC followed on 172,922, a margin of 18,439. The four tracked parties total 524,091; that subtotal is not the complete eighteen-party vote.
What does the local pattern show?
APC leads 8, LP leads 4 and PDP leads 1 of the 13 LGA rollups. State-wide, LP leads the PU layer with 175,425 of 484,058 four-party votes, 12,413 ahead of APC. This does not revise the declared leader.
Why can the declared and PU totals differ?
EC8D is a state collation product. Mundx selects complete four-party PU observations, prioritising CCIJ records and then Mark Essien fallbacks. Scope, availability, transcription and later collation steps can differ. The comparison identifies questions; it does not prove a cause.
How should this page be cited?
Use this permanent URL for the Nasarawa declaration and comparison. Name the layer, year and review date. Cite an LGA place record for a local PU claim, and do not call its PU leader a declared winner without a traceable local collation source.
Provenance
What is official, and what Mundx calculated
The declared layer comes from INEC's result collection and a contemporaneous reproduction of the collation table. It is a collation product, not a sum recreated by Mundx.
Mundx's second layer is a four-party aggregation of selected polling-unit observations. It applies policy all-complete-ccij-first-v1: complete CCIJ records take precedence, then complete Mark Essien records fill remaining units.
- INEC 2023 presidential IReV record.
- State/FCT collation reproduction.
- 176,409 represented units from an inventory of 176,846; 437 remain unresolved nationally.
Canonical PU policy all-complete-ccij-first-v1 · CCIJ commit e38e3bc9a22a
Reuse boundary. Mundx Analytics confirms permission to publish and redistribute the source-derived records in this release. No standard open-data licence or third-party bulk-reuse terms are specified.
Published by Mundx Analytics · reviewed by Mundx Analytics Data Team on 22 September 2026 · official sources retrieved 2026-08-20.