Local evidence record · Declaration unavailable

Oshodi/Isolo 2023 presidential election evidence

Mundx's selected polling-unit observations place LP first in Oshodi/Isolo's four-party aggregation with 49,095 votes, ahead of APC by 23,822. This is not an official LGA declaration. The current source register contains no separately sourced Oshodi/Isolo collation record, so the declared-result field remains unavailable.

Result layer
Canonical PU aggregation
Four-party leader
LP · 49,095
PUs represented
890 / 890
Declared LGA result
Not in current source register

Evidence status: complete inventory representation for the four selected parties does not make these figures an EC8C, EC8D or other declared collation result.

Oshodi/Isolo PU layer

Four-party polling-unit aggregation

The selected records total 77,991 votes across APC, LP, PDP and NNPP. LP accounts for 62.9% of that four-party sum; APC accounts for 32.4%.

Oshodi/Isolo canonical four-party polling-unit aggregation
PartySelected PU votesFour-party share
LP49,09562.9%
APC25,27332.4%
PDP3,1394.0%
NNPP4840.6%
Four-party total77,991100.0%
No declared comparison is shown. Mundx will add a declared column only when the source register contains a traceable LGA collation record with its authority, form level, retrieval date and confidence.

Ward evidence

How the four-party pattern varies within Oshodi/Isolo

APC leads 2 and LP leads 9 of the 11 ward rollups. Every row is calculated from selected PU observations and keeps the representation count beside the vote totals.

Canonical four-party polling-unit aggregation by Oshodi/Isolo ward
WardPU leaderAPCLPPDPNNPPFour-partyPUs represented
Ajao EstateLP6453,669153204,48736 / 36
IlasamajaLP1,8523,097276495,27476 / 76
IshagatedoLP1,5422,571208404,36158 / 58
IsoloAPC2,2742,269258114,81277 / 77
MafolukuLP1,4612,333247284,06965 / 65
Oke-Afa/EjigboLP6,05610,8975517617,580186 / 186
OkotaLP1,64714,0751876015,96992 / 92
Orile-OshodiAPC4,4772,738394957,704112 / 112
Oshodi/BoladeLP3,0293,505400546,988101 / 101
SogunleLP1,0311,597180182,82634 / 34
Sogunle/AlasiaLP1,2592,344285333,92153 / 53

Largest ward rollups

Five local records in context

These notes restate the largest ward aggregates in prose so their leader, margin and representation remain readable outside the table.

  1. Oke-Afa/Ejigbo: LP leads with 10,897 of 17,580 four-party votes, a margin of 4,841 over APC. The rollup represents 186 of 186 inventory units.
  2. Okota: LP leads with 14,075 of 15,969 four-party votes, a margin of 12,428 over APC. The rollup represents 92 of 92 inventory units.
  3. Orile-Oshodi: APC leads with 4,477 of 7,704 four-party votes, a margin of 1,739 over LP. The rollup represents 112 of 112 inventory units.
  4. Oshodi/Bolade: LP leads with 3,505 of 6,988 four-party votes, a margin of 476 over APC. The rollup represents 101 of 101 inventory units.
  5. Ilasamaja: LP leads with 3,097 of 5,274 four-party votes, a margin of 1,245 over APC. The rollup represents 76 of 76 inventory units.

Evidence beneath the wards

Largest represented polling-unit rollups

The ten rows below are ordered by four-party vote count. This is not a turnout ranking and does not imply official validation. The source label identifies which selected observation supplied the four party fields.

Ten largest represented polling-unit four-party rollups in Oshodi/Isolo
Polling unitWardPU leaderFour-party votesSelected source
24-18-09-082
Junction Of Emeka Nzom Str./ Green Field Est
OkotaLP494CCIJ
24-18-09-053
Junction Of Moses Onwugha Down Okpwara Ave.
OkotaLP439CCIJ
24-18-04-028
Junction Of Chivita Avenue.
Ajao EstateLP417CCIJ
24-18-09-013
7, Alli Dada St.
OkotaLP412CCIJ
24-18-09-071
Junction Of Sunday Aghedo/ Hakeem Dosumu Str
OkotaLP404CCIJ
24-18-09-075
Booth In Front Of Grandmate School
OkotaLP361CCIJ
24-18-09-068
Junction Of Ejike Udoye Crescent / Community Rd
OkotaLP341CCIJ
24-18-09-038
Junction Of Taiwo Soremekun St./Canal Avenue
OkotaLP331CCIJ
24-18-09-017
At 10, Dr. Faseun St.
OkotaLP328CCIJ
24-18-11-102
No 13, Duduyemi Street
Oke-Afa/EjigboLP324CCIJ

How this record was built

From inventory to local aggregation

1 · Inventory

Fix the expected units

The INEC polling-unit register supplies stable territory or state, local, ward and unit codes. Oshodi/Isolo contains 890 inventory units in this snapshot, which prevents source rows from silently changing the denominator.

2 · Selection

Apply one policy

Complete CCIJ observations take precedence, followed by complete Mark Essien fallbacks. Oshodi/Isolo's selected records break down as CCIJ 831, MARK 59. The policy is deterministic and preserves the original source label.

3 · Aggregation

Sum without declaring

Party values are summed from PU to ward and LGA. Missing observations stay visible instead of being estimated. In Oshodi/Isolo, 890 of 890 units are represented, while the scope still excludes fourteen parties.

What this rollout preserves. The page is designed to survive a later declared-result addition without changing its URL. A future collation record would appear as a separately sourced layer beside this aggregation; it would not overwrite the PU evidence, backfill a missing total, or turn the calculated ward table into an official document. Every future update should retain the review date and show which layer changed, so readers can distinguish new source evidence from a presentation revision. Keeping that contract stable now is more important than generating hundreds of local pages at once.

Questions this page answers

Oshodi/Isolo evidence notes

Did LP officially win Oshodi/Isolo?

This page does not make that claim. It says LP leads Mundx's four-party aggregation of selected polling-unit observations. A statement about the declared LGA result requires a sourced collation record at the appropriate result layer.

What does representation mean?

It reports how many inventory units have a selected observation containing all four tracked party values. It does not establish sheet authenticity, capture all eighteen parties, or reproduce every correction made during collation.

Why preserve an unavailable field?

An explicit unavailable value is safer than promoting a calculated PU sum into an official result. It also makes future source work concrete: add the declared layer only with a form level, authority URL, retrieval date and documented confidence.

How is this different from the Oshodi/Isolo place page?

The permanent Oshodi/Isolo place record describes geography across cycles. This contest page is tied to the 2023 presidential election, its evidence layers and its source limitations. The URLs serve different questions and should not duplicate one another.

Provenance

What is official, and what Mundx calculated

The current source register does not contain a declared LGA collation record for this geography. Mundx therefore leaves the declared layer empty instead of inferring one from polling units.

Mundx's second layer is a four-party aggregation of selected polling-unit observations. It applies policy all-complete-ccij-first-v1: complete CCIJ records take precedence, then complete Mark Essien records fill remaining units.

Canonical PU policy all-complete-ccij-first-v1 · CCIJ commit e38e3bc9a22a
Reuse boundary. Mundx Analytics confirms permission to publish and redistribute the source-derived records in this release. No standard open-data licence or third-party bulk-reuse terms are specified.

Published by Mundx Analytics · reviewed by Mundx Analytics Data Team on 22 September 2026 · official sources retrieved 2026-08-20.