Local evidence record · Declaration unavailable

Ikorodu 2023 presidential election evidence

Mundx's selected polling-unit observations place APC first in Ikorodu's four-party aggregation with 49,440 votes, ahead of LP by 22,699. This is not an official LGA declaration. The current source register contains no separately sourced Ikorodu collation record, so the declared-result field remains unavailable.

Result layer
Canonical PU aggregation
Four-party leader
APC · 49,440
PUs represented
682 / 682
Declared LGA result
Not in current source register

Evidence status: complete inventory representation for the four selected parties does not make these figures an EC8C, EC8D or other declared collation result.

Ikorodu PU layer

Four-party polling-unit aggregation

The selected records total 81,106 votes across APC, LP, PDP and NNPP. APC accounts for 61.0% of that four-party sum; LP accounts for 33.0%.

Ikorodu canonical four-party polling-unit aggregation
PartySelected PU votesFour-party share
APC49,44061.0%
LP26,74133.0%
PDP4,4525.5%
NNPP4730.6%
Four-party total81,106100.0%
No declared comparison is shown. Mundx will add a declared column only when the source register contains a traceable LGA collation record with its authority, form level, retrieval date and confidence.

Ward evidence

How the four-party pattern varies within Ikorodu

APC leads 19 of the 19 ward rollups. Every row is calculated from selected PU observations and keeps the representation count beside the vote totals.

Canonical four-party polling-unit aggregation by Ikorodu ward
WardPU leaderAPCLPPDPNNPPFour-partyPUs represented
Aga/IjimuAPC4,1341,251380165,78156 / 56
AgbalaAPC2,3491,787248364,42043 / 43
Agura/IponmiAPC2,5932,380155325,16034 / 34
Baiyeku/OretaAPC2,156817169153,15729 / 29
ErikoroduAPC1,9631,815164243,96619 / 19
IbesheAPC2,2361,367130233,75629 / 29
Igbogbo IAPC2,4661,511199304,20630 / 30
Igbogbo IiAPC3,9352,263294906,58245 / 45
Ijede IiAPC3,2071,142168254,54227 / 27
Ijede JAPC1,831510108102,45921 / 21
Imota 1APC1,310299119171,74515 / 15
Imota IiAPC2,197236216152,66428 / 28
IpakodoAPC5,9654,3366384410,98379 / 79
Isele IAPC3,7332,405414286,58096 / 96
Isele IiAPC1,69212117911,99323 / 23
Isele IiiAPC1,58236223302,17723 / 23
IsiuAPC1,66376317992,61412 / 12
OdogunyanAPC3,5603,131376527,11965 / 65
Olorunda/IgbagaAPC8682458361,2028 / 8

Largest ward rollups

Five local records in context

These notes restate the largest ward aggregates in prose so their leader, margin and representation remain readable outside the table.

  1. Ipakodo: APC leads with 5,965 of 10,983 four-party votes, a margin of 1,629 over LP. The rollup represents 79 of 79 inventory units.
  2. Odogunyan: APC leads with 3,560 of 7,119 four-party votes, a margin of 429 over LP. The rollup represents 65 of 65 inventory units.
  3. Igbogbo Ii: APC leads with 3,935 of 6,582 four-party votes, a margin of 1,672 over LP. The rollup represents 45 of 45 inventory units.
  4. Isele I: APC leads with 3,733 of 6,580 four-party votes, a margin of 1,328 over LP. The rollup represents 96 of 96 inventory units.
  5. Aga/Ijimu: APC leads with 4,134 of 5,781 four-party votes, a margin of 2,883 over LP. The rollup represents 56 of 56 inventory units.

Evidence beneath the wards

Largest represented polling-unit rollups

The ten rows below are ordered by four-party vote count. This is not a turnout ranking and does not imply official validation. The source label identifies which selected observation supplied the four party fields.

Ten largest represented polling-unit four-party rollups in Ikorodu
Polling unitWardPU leaderFour-party votesSelected source
24-12-17-003
Junction Of Eruwen/Eruwen Ekiti Village
ErikoroduAPC623CCIJ
24-12-15-009
Meth. Pry. School Gberigbe
Agura/IponmiAPC426CCIJ
24-12-14-017
Infront Of No.1, Fakolujo Str, Off Pipeline Igbopa London
Ijede IiAPC411CCIJ
24-12-16-009
Community Pry. Sch. Odonla
OdogunyanAPC395CCIJ
24-12-10-016
L.G. Pry. School, Igbe
Igbogbo IiAPC393CCIJ
24-12-09-001
Junction Of Animashaun St./Oba Molaja Ogunlewe Rd.
Igbogbo IAPC377CCIJ
24-12-09-010
Baiyeku/Oreta Road Junction, Igbogbo
Igbogbo IAPC377CCIJ
24-12-10-005
Salvation Army Pry. School Agunfoye
Igbogbo IiAPC348CCIJ
24-12-16-001
Within Agbede Agbaje Village
OdogunyanAPC347CCIJ
24-12-10-022
Junction Of Wuraola Street Selewu
Igbogbo IiLP345CCIJ

How this record was built

From inventory to local aggregation

1 · Inventory

Fix the expected units

The INEC polling-unit register supplies stable territory or state, local, ward and unit codes. Ikorodu contains 682 inventory units in this snapshot, which prevents source rows from silently changing the denominator.

2 · Selection

Apply one policy

Complete CCIJ observations take precedence, followed by complete Mark Essien fallbacks. Ikorodu's selected records break down as CCIJ 668, MARK 14. The policy is deterministic and preserves the original source label.

3 · Aggregation

Sum without declaring

Party values are summed from PU to ward and LGA. Missing observations stay visible instead of being estimated. In Ikorodu, 682 of 682 units are represented, while the scope still excludes fourteen parties.

What this rollout preserves. The page is designed to survive a later declared-result addition without changing its URL. A future collation record would appear as a separately sourced layer beside this aggregation; it would not overwrite the PU evidence, backfill a missing total, or turn the calculated ward table into an official document. Every future update should retain the review date and show which layer changed, so readers can distinguish new source evidence from a presentation revision. Keeping that contract stable now is more important than generating hundreds of local pages at once.

Questions this page answers

Ikorodu evidence notes

Did APC officially win Ikorodu?

This page does not make that claim. It says APC leads Mundx's four-party aggregation of selected polling-unit observations. A statement about the declared LGA result requires a sourced collation record at the appropriate result layer.

What does representation mean?

It reports how many inventory units have a selected observation containing all four tracked party values. It does not establish sheet authenticity, capture all eighteen parties, or reproduce every correction made during collation.

Why preserve an unavailable field?

An explicit unavailable value is safer than promoting a calculated PU sum into an official result. It also makes future source work concrete: add the declared layer only with a form level, authority URL, retrieval date and documented confidence.

How is this different from the Ikorodu place page?

The permanent Ikorodu place record describes geography across cycles. This contest page is tied to the 2023 presidential election, its evidence layers and its source limitations. The URLs serve different questions and should not duplicate one another.

Provenance

What is official, and what Mundx calculated

The current source register does not contain a declared LGA collation record for this geography. Mundx therefore leaves the declared layer empty instead of inferring one from polling units.

Mundx's second layer is a four-party aggregation of selected polling-unit observations. It applies policy all-complete-ccij-first-v1: complete CCIJ records take precedence, then complete Mark Essien records fill remaining units.

Canonical PU policy all-complete-ccij-first-v1 · CCIJ commit e38e3bc9a22a
Reuse boundary. Mundx Analytics confirms permission to publish and redistribute the source-derived records in this release. No standard open-data licence or third-party bulk-reuse terms are specified.

Published by Mundx Analytics · reviewed by Mundx Analytics Data Team on 22 September 2026 · official sources retrieved 2026-08-20.