Local evidence record · Declaration unavailable

Ikeja 2023 presidential election evidence

Mundx's selected polling-unit observations place LP first in Ikeja's four-party aggregation with 28,712 votes, ahead of APC by 7,315. This is not an official LGA declaration. The current source register contains no separately sourced Ikeja collation record, so the declared-result field remains unavailable.

Result layer
Canonical PU aggregation
Four-party leader
LP · 28,712
PUs represented
667 / 667
Declared LGA result
Not in current source register

Evidence status: complete inventory representation for the four selected parties does not make these figures an EC8C, EC8D or other declared collation result.

Ikeja PU layer

Four-party polling-unit aggregation

The selected records total 52,918 votes across APC, LP, PDP and NNPP. LP accounts for 54.3% of that four-party sum; APC accounts for 40.4%.

Ikeja canonical four-party polling-unit aggregation
PartySelected PU votesFour-party share
LP28,71254.3%
APC21,39740.4%
PDP2,4144.6%
NNPP3950.7%
Four-party total52,918100.0%
No declared comparison is shown. Mundx will add a declared column only when the source register contains a traceable LGA collation record with its authority, form level, retrieval date and confidence.

Ward evidence

How the four-party pattern varies within Ikeja

APC leads 2 and LP leads 8 of the 10 ward rollups. Every row is calculated from selected PU observations and keeps the representation count beside the vote totals.

Canonical four-party polling-unit aggregation by Ikeja ward
WardPU leaderAPCLPPDPNNPPFour-partyPUs represented
Adekunle Vill./Adeniyi Jones/OgbaAPC1,5731,47414593,20138 / 38
Airport/Onipetesi/OnilekereLP1,1462,173120203,45937 / 37
Alausa/Oregun/OlusosunLP2,8493,023260216,15386 / 86
Anifowoshe/IkejaLP1,2291,792168243,21347 / 47
Gra/Police BarracksLP1,0861,926220363,26849 / 49
Ipodo/Seriki AroLP2,4432,756310465,55578 / 78
Ojodu/Agidingbi/OmoleLP3,9906,88935611911,354121 / 121
Oke-Ira/AgudaAPC4,5624,425468409,495100 / 100
Onigbongbo/Military CantonmentLP1,1901,724185483,14751 / 51
Wasimi/Opebi/AllenLP1,3292,530182324,07360 / 60

Largest ward rollups

Five local records in context

These notes restate the largest ward aggregates in prose so their leader, margin and representation remain readable outside the table.

  1. Ojodu/Agidingbi/Omole: LP leads with 6,889 of 11,354 four-party votes, a margin of 2,899 over APC. The rollup represents 121 of 121 inventory units.
  2. Oke-Ira/Aguda: APC leads with 4,562 of 9,495 four-party votes, a margin of 137 over LP. The rollup represents 100 of 100 inventory units.
  3. Alausa/Oregun/Olusosun: LP leads with 3,023 of 6,153 four-party votes, a margin of 174 over APC. The rollup represents 86 of 86 inventory units.
  4. Ipodo/Seriki Aro: LP leads with 2,756 of 5,555 four-party votes, a margin of 313 over APC. The rollup represents 78 of 78 inventory units.
  5. Wasimi/Opebi/Allen: LP leads with 2,530 of 4,073 four-party votes, a margin of 1,201 over APC. The rollup represents 60 of 60 inventory units.

Evidence beneath the wards

Largest represented polling-unit rollups

The ten rows below are ordered by four-party vote count. This is not a turnout ranking and does not imply official validation. The source label identifies which selected observation supplied the four party fields.

Ten largest represented polling-unit four-party rollups in Ikeja
Polling unitWardPU leaderFour-party votesSelected source
24-11-07-078
No 39 Ondo Street
Oke-Ira/AgudaAPC1,049CCIJ
24-11-07-043
Oke Ira Pry. Sch.
Oke-Ira/AgudaLP286CCIJ
24-11-04-004
Opp. No. 12 Michael Akinola St.
Airport/Onipetesi/OnilekereLP285CCIJ
24-11-02-062
Yakoyo Market
Ojodu/Agidingbi/OmoleLP267CCIJ
24-11-02-097
Gate Of Omole Grammar School
Ojodu/Agidingbi/OmoleLP260MARK
24-11-04-007
State Pry. Sch. Onipetesi - I
Airport/Onipetesi/OnilekereLP257CCIJ
24-11-02-028
Omole Grammar School I
Ojodu/Agidingbi/OmoleLP232CCIJ
24-11-04-005
Opp. No. 10 Babaponle St.
Airport/Onipetesi/OnilekereLP232CCIJ
24-11-03-002
Junction Of Odewale/Alausa
Alausa/Oregun/OlusosunLP225CCIJ
24-11-02-114
Junction Of Kosoko/Bakare Str
Ojodu/Agidingbi/OmoleAPC224CCIJ

How this record was built

From inventory to local aggregation

1 · Inventory

Fix the expected units

The INEC polling-unit register supplies stable territory or state, local, ward and unit codes. Ikeja contains 667 inventory units in this snapshot, which prevents source rows from silently changing the denominator.

2 · Selection

Apply one policy

Complete CCIJ observations take precedence, followed by complete Mark Essien fallbacks. Ikeja's selected records break down as CCIJ 649, MARK 18. The policy is deterministic and preserves the original source label.

3 · Aggregation

Sum without declaring

Party values are summed from PU to ward and LGA. Missing observations stay visible instead of being estimated. In Ikeja, 667 of 667 units are represented, while the scope still excludes fourteen parties.

What this rollout preserves. The page is designed to survive a later declared-result addition without changing its URL. A future collation record would appear as a separately sourced layer beside this aggregation; it would not overwrite the PU evidence, backfill a missing total, or turn the calculated ward table into an official document. Every future update should retain the review date and show which layer changed, so readers can distinguish new source evidence from a presentation revision. Keeping that contract stable now is more important than generating hundreds of local pages at once.

Questions this page answers

Ikeja evidence notes

Did LP officially win Ikeja?

This page does not make that claim. It says LP leads Mundx's four-party aggregation of selected polling-unit observations. A statement about the declared LGA result requires a sourced collation record at the appropriate result layer.

What does representation mean?

It reports how many inventory units have a selected observation containing all four tracked party values. It does not establish sheet authenticity, capture all eighteen parties, or reproduce every correction made during collation.

Why preserve an unavailable field?

An explicit unavailable value is safer than promoting a calculated PU sum into an official result. It also makes future source work concrete: add the declared layer only with a form level, authority URL, retrieval date and documented confidence.

How is this different from the Ikeja place page?

The permanent Ikeja place record describes geography across cycles. This contest page is tied to the 2023 presidential election, its evidence layers and its source limitations. The URLs serve different questions and should not duplicate one another.

Provenance

What is official, and what Mundx calculated

The current source register does not contain a declared LGA collation record for this geography. Mundx therefore leaves the declared layer empty instead of inferring one from polling units.

Mundx's second layer is a four-party aggregation of selected polling-unit observations. It applies policy all-complete-ccij-first-v1: complete CCIJ records take precedence, then complete Mark Essien records fill remaining units.

Canonical PU policy all-complete-ccij-first-v1 · CCIJ commit e38e3bc9a22a
Reuse boundary. Mundx Analytics confirms permission to publish and redistribute the source-derived records in this release. No standard open-data licence or third-party bulk-reuse terms are specified.

Published by Mundx Analytics · reviewed by Mundx Analytics Data Team on 22 September 2026 · official sources retrieved 2026-08-20.