Local evidence record · Declaration unavailable

Eti-Osa 2023 presidential election evidence

Mundx's selected polling-unit observations place LP first in Eti-Osa's four-party aggregation with 41,982 votes, ahead of APC by 26,835. This is not an official LGA declaration. The current source register contains no separately sourced Eti-Osa collation record, so the declared-result field remains unavailable.

Result layer
Canonical PU aggregation
Four-party leader
LP · 41,982
PUs represented
725 / 725
Declared LGA result
Not in current source register

Evidence status: complete inventory representation for the four selected parties does not make these figures an EC8C, EC8D or other declared collation result.

Eti-Osa PU layer

Four-party polling-unit aggregation

The selected records total 60,731 votes across APC, LP, PDP and NNPP. LP accounts for 69.1% of that four-party sum; APC accounts for 24.9%.

Eti-Osa canonical four-party polling-unit aggregation
PartySelected PU votesFour-party share
LP41,98269.1%
APC15,14724.9%
PDP3,2395.3%
NNPP3630.6%
Four-party total60,731100.0%
No declared comparison is shown. Mundx will add a declared column only when the source register contains a traceable LGA collation record with its authority, form level, retrieval date and confidence.

Ward evidence

How the four-party pattern varies within Eti-Osa

APC leads 1 and LP leads 9 of the 10 ward rollups. Every row is calculated from selected PU observations and keeps the representation count beside the vote totals.

Canonical four-party polling-unit aggregation by Eti-Osa ward
WardPU leaderAPCLPPDPNNPPFour-partyPUs represented
Ado/Langbasa/BadoreLP1,1213,807145285,10153 / 53
Ajah/SangotedoLP1,3326,490234308,08667 / 67
Ikoyi ILP1,0992,107273233,50246 / 46
Ikoyi IiLP1,3063,041428264,80167 / 67
Ilado/Eti-Osa And EnvironsLP1,2963,917202565,47173 / 73
Ilasan Housing EstateLP1,2172,216167223,62259 / 59
Lekki/Ikate And EnvironsLP2,67313,8135036117,050126 / 126
ObalendeAPC2,2182,072610484,94863 / 63
Victoria Island ILP1,3822,053361413,83775 / 75
Victoria Island IiLP1,5032,466316284,31396 / 96

Largest ward rollups

Five local records in context

These notes restate the largest ward aggregates in prose so their leader, margin and representation remain readable outside the table.

  1. Lekki/Ikate And Environs: LP leads with 13,813 of 17,050 four-party votes, a margin of 11,140 over APC. The rollup represents 126 of 126 inventory units.
  2. Ajah/Sangotedo: LP leads with 6,490 of 8,086 four-party votes, a margin of 5,158 over APC. The rollup represents 67 of 67 inventory units.
  3. Ilado/Eti-Osa And Environs: LP leads with 3,917 of 5,471 four-party votes, a margin of 2,621 over APC. The rollup represents 73 of 73 inventory units.
  4. Ado/Langbasa/Badore: LP leads with 3,807 of 5,101 four-party votes, a margin of 2,686 over APC. The rollup represents 53 of 53 inventory units.
  5. Obalende: APC leads with 2,218 of 4,948 four-party votes, a margin of 146 over LP. The rollup represents 63 of 63 inventory units.

Evidence beneath the wards

Largest represented polling-unit rollups

The ten rows below are ordered by four-party vote count. This is not a turnout ranking and does not imply official validation. The source label identifies which selected observation supplied the four party fields.

Ten largest represented polling-unit four-party rollups in Eti-Osa
Polling unitWardPU leaderFour-party votesSelected source
24-08-04-016
Lekki Scheme I - V
Lekki/Ikate And EnvironsLP1,100CCIJ
24-08-04-012
Lekki Scheme I - I
Lekki/Ikate And EnvironsLP855CCIJ
24-08-04-015
Lekki Scheme I - Iv
Lekki/Ikate And EnvironsLP657MARK
24-08-05-027
Ajiwe Village
Ilado/Eti-Osa And EnvironsLP648CCIJ
24-08-04-032
Victoria Garden City I
Lekki/Ikate And EnvironsLP616CCIJ
24-08-04-019
Agungi/Idado Village I
Lekki/Ikate And EnvironsLP547CCIJ
24-08-04-027
Ajiran Pry. Sch. Iii
Lekki/Ikate And EnvironsLP545CCIJ
24-08-04-106
Northern Foreshore Estate Main Gate
Lekki/Ikate And EnvironsLP527CCIJ
24-08-04-033
Victoria Garden City Ii
Lekki/Ikate And EnvironsLP513CCIJ
24-08-04-013
Lekki Scheme I -Ii
Lekki/Ikate And EnvironsLP507CCIJ

How this record was built

From inventory to local aggregation

1 · Inventory

Fix the expected units

The INEC polling-unit register supplies stable territory or state, local, ward and unit codes. Eti-Osa contains 725 inventory units in this snapshot, which prevents source rows from silently changing the denominator.

2 · Selection

Apply one policy

Complete CCIJ observations take precedence, followed by complete Mark Essien fallbacks. Eti-Osa's selected records break down as CCIJ 661, MARK 64. The policy is deterministic and preserves the original source label.

3 · Aggregation

Sum without declaring

Party values are summed from PU to ward and LGA. Missing observations stay visible instead of being estimated. In Eti-Osa, 725 of 725 units are represented, while the scope still excludes fourteen parties.

What this rollout preserves. The page is designed to survive a later declared-result addition without changing its URL. A future collation record would appear as a separately sourced layer beside this aggregation; it would not overwrite the PU evidence, backfill a missing total, or turn the calculated ward table into an official document. Every future update should retain the review date and show which layer changed, so readers can distinguish new source evidence from a presentation revision. Keeping that contract stable now is more important than generating hundreds of local pages at once.

Questions this page answers

Eti-Osa evidence notes

Did LP officially win Eti-Osa?

This page does not make that claim. It says LP leads Mundx's four-party aggregation of selected polling-unit observations. A statement about the declared LGA result requires a sourced collation record at the appropriate result layer.

What does representation mean?

It reports how many inventory units have a selected observation containing all four tracked party values. It does not establish sheet authenticity, capture all eighteen parties, or reproduce every correction made during collation.

Why preserve an unavailable field?

An explicit unavailable value is safer than promoting a calculated PU sum into an official result. It also makes future source work concrete: add the declared layer only with a form level, authority URL, retrieval date and documented confidence.

How is this different from the Eti-Osa place page?

The permanent Eti-Osa place record describes geography across cycles. This contest page is tied to the 2023 presidential election, its evidence layers and its source limitations. The URLs serve different questions and should not duplicate one another.

Provenance

What is official, and what Mundx calculated

The current source register does not contain a declared LGA collation record for this geography. Mundx therefore leaves the declared layer empty instead of inferring one from polling units.

Mundx's second layer is a four-party aggregation of selected polling-unit observations. It applies policy all-complete-ccij-first-v1: complete CCIJ records take precedence, then complete Mark Essien records fill remaining units.

Canonical PU policy all-complete-ccij-first-v1 · CCIJ commit e38e3bc9a22a
Reuse boundary. Mundx Analytics confirms permission to publish and redistribute the source-derived records in this release. No standard open-data licence or third-party bulk-reuse terms are specified.

Published by Mundx Analytics · reviewed by Mundx Analytics Data Team on 22 September 2026 · official sources retrieved 2026-08-20.