Local evidence record · Declaration unavailable

Epe 2023 presidential election evidence

Mundx's selected polling-unit observations place APC first in Epe's four-party aggregation with 18,711 votes, ahead of PDP by 13,831. This is not an official LGA declaration. The current source register contains no separately sourced Epe collation record, so the declared-result field remains unavailable.

Result layer
Canonical PU aggregation
Four-party leader
APC · 18,711
PUs represented
374 / 374
Declared LGA result
Not in current source register

Evidence status: complete inventory representation for the four selected parties does not make these figures an EC8C, EC8D or other declared collation result.

Epe PU layer

Four-party polling-unit aggregation

The selected records total 26,929 votes across APC, LP, PDP and NNPP. APC accounts for 69.5% of that four-party sum; PDP accounts for 18.1%.

Epe canonical four-party polling-unit aggregation
PartySelected PU votesFour-party share
APC18,71169.5%
PDP4,88018.1%
LP3,21912.0%
NNPP1190.4%
Four-party total26,929100.0%
No declared comparison is shown. Mundx will add a declared column only when the source register contains a traceable LGA collation record with its authority, form level, retrieval date and confidence.

Ward evidence

How the four-party pattern varies within Epe

APC leads 19 of the 19 ward rollups. Every row is calculated from selected PU observations and keeps the representation count beside the vote totals.

Canonical four-party polling-unit aggregation by Epe ward
WardPU leaderAPCLPPDPNNPPFour-partyPUs represented
AbomitiAPC1,0434831871,41640 / 40
AgbowaAPC8497730711,23412 / 12
Agbowa IkosiAPC70047219196711 / 11
Ago OwuAPC8319132321,24712 / 12
AjaganabeAPC3,213868770514,90260 / 60
EjirinAPC5463411706978 / 8
Etita/EbodeAPC1,1133918621,34016 / 16
IbonwonAPC72583135194415 / 15
IlaraAPC8397922941,15122 / 22
Ise/IgbogunAPC6673175184621 / 21
ItoikinAPC876259233121,38015 / 15
LagbadeAPC1,00736231291,69022 / 22
OdomolaAPC1,108364228121,71224 / 24
OdoragunsinAPC92918421341,33016 / 16
Oke-BalogunAPC1,37224937051,99619 / 19
Oriba/LadabaAPC8701616511,05225 / 25
OrugboAPC331357104375 / 5
PokaAPC98035923441,57721 / 21
Popo-ObaAPC7122227521,01110 / 10

Largest ward rollups

Five local records in context

These notes restate the largest ward aggregates in prose so their leader, margin and representation remain readable outside the table.

  1. Ajaganabe: APC leads with 3,213 of 4,902 four-party votes, a margin of 2,345 over LP. The rollup represents 60 of 60 inventory units.
  2. Oke-Balogun: APC leads with 1,372 of 1,996 four-party votes, a margin of 1,002 over PDP. The rollup represents 19 of 19 inventory units.
  3. Odomola: APC leads with 1,108 of 1,712 four-party votes, a margin of 744 over LP. The rollup represents 24 of 24 inventory units.
  4. Lagbade: APC leads with 1,007 of 1,690 four-party votes, a margin of 645 over LP. The rollup represents 22 of 22 inventory units.
  5. Poka: APC leads with 980 of 1,577 four-party votes, a margin of 621 over LP. The rollup represents 21 of 21 inventory units.

Evidence beneath the wards

Largest represented polling-unit rollups

The ten rows below are ordered by four-party vote count. This is not a turnout ranking and does not imply official validation. The source label identifies which selected observation supplied the four party fields.

Ten largest represented polling-unit four-party rollups in Epe
Polling unitWardPU leaderFour-party votesSelected source
24-07-16-001
Imokun Town Hall
PokaAPC234CCIJ
24-07-05-033
Ogunmodede College Papa Epe
AjaganabeAPC221CCIJ
24-07-05-057
Ogunmodede College
AjaganabeAPC211CCIJ
24-07-19-010
Temu Village
ItoikinAPC204CCIJ
24-07-19-013
Temu Village
ItoikinLP198CCIJ
24-07-10-009
In Front No. 5 Ayegbami St. Ii
Agbowa IkosiAPC194CCIJ
24-07-17-010
Comm. High Sch. Iraye-Oke I
OdomolaAPC177CCIJ
24-07-16-016
7, Gbonle\Ajana Road, Odogbonle
PokaAPC175MARK
24-07-04-001
A.U.D. Pry. School Epe
Oke-BalogunAPC174CCIJ
24-07-03-006
In Front Of No. 5 Areh St.
Popo-ObaAPC171CCIJ

How this record was built

From inventory to local aggregation

1 · Inventory

Fix the expected units

The INEC polling-unit register supplies stable territory or state, local, ward and unit codes. Epe contains 374 inventory units in this snapshot, which prevents source rows from silently changing the denominator.

2 · Selection

Apply one policy

Complete CCIJ observations take precedence, followed by complete Mark Essien fallbacks. Epe's selected records break down as CCIJ 344, MARK 30. The policy is deterministic and preserves the original source label.

3 · Aggregation

Sum without declaring

Party values are summed from PU to ward and LGA. Missing observations stay visible instead of being estimated. In Epe, 374 of 374 units are represented, while the scope still excludes fourteen parties.

What this rollout preserves. The page is designed to survive a later declared-result addition without changing its URL. A future collation record would appear as a separately sourced layer beside this aggregation; it would not overwrite the PU evidence, backfill a missing total, or turn the calculated ward table into an official document. Every future update should retain the review date and show which layer changed, so readers can distinguish new source evidence from a presentation revision. Keeping that contract stable now is more important than generating hundreds of local pages at once.

Questions this page answers

Epe evidence notes

Did APC officially win Epe?

This page does not make that claim. It says APC leads Mundx's four-party aggregation of selected polling-unit observations. A statement about the declared LGA result requires a sourced collation record at the appropriate result layer.

What does representation mean?

It reports how many inventory units have a selected observation containing all four tracked party values. It does not establish sheet authenticity, capture all eighteen parties, or reproduce every correction made during collation.

Why preserve an unavailable field?

An explicit unavailable value is safer than promoting a calculated PU sum into an official result. It also makes future source work concrete: add the declared layer only with a form level, authority URL, retrieval date and documented confidence.

How is this different from the Epe place page?

The permanent Epe place record describes geography across cycles. This contest page is tied to the 2023 presidential election, its evidence layers and its source limitations. The URLs serve different questions and should not duplicate one another.

Provenance

What is official, and what Mundx calculated

The current source register does not contain a declared LGA collation record for this geography. Mundx therefore leaves the declared layer empty instead of inferring one from polling units.

Mundx's second layer is a four-party aggregation of selected polling-unit observations. It applies policy all-complete-ccij-first-v1: complete CCIJ records take precedence, then complete Mark Essien records fill remaining units.

Canonical PU policy all-complete-ccij-first-v1 · CCIJ commit e38e3bc9a22a
Reuse boundary. Mundx Analytics confirms permission to publish and redistribute the source-derived records in this release. No standard open-data licence or third-party bulk-reuse terms are specified.

Published by Mundx Analytics · reviewed by Mundx Analytics Data Team on 22 September 2026 · official sources retrieved 2026-08-20.