Fix the expected units
The INEC polling-unit register supplies stable territory or state, local, ward and unit codes. Kwali contains 201 inventory units in this snapshot, which prevents source rows from silently changing the denominator.
Local evidence record · Declaration unavailable
Kwali 2023 presidential election evidence
Mundx's selected polling-unit observations place APC first in Kwali's four-party aggregation with 9,773 votes, ahead of PDP by 1,890. This is not an official area council declaration. The current source register contains no separately sourced Kwali collation record, so the declared-result field remains unavailable.
Evidence status: complete inventory representation for the four selected parties does not make these figures an EC8C, EC8D or other declared collation result.
Kwali PU layer
Four-party polling-unit aggregation
The selected records total 24,061 votes across APC, LP, PDP and NNPP. APC accounts for 40.6% of that four-party sum; PDP accounts for 32.8%.
| Party | Selected PU votes | Four-party share |
|---|---|---|
| APC | 9,773 | 40.6% |
| PDP | 7,883 | 32.8% |
| LP | 6,128 | 25.5% |
| NNPP | 277 | 1.2% |
| Four-party total | 24,061 | 100.0% |
No declared comparison is shown. Mundx will add a declared column only when the source register contains a traceable area council collation record with its authority, form level, retrieval date and confidence.
Ward evidence
How the four-party pattern varies within Kwali
APC leads 7, LP leads 1 and PDP leads 2 of the 10 ward rollups. Every row is calculated from selected PU observations and keeps the representation count beside the vote totals.
| Ward | PU leader | APC | LP | PDP | NNPP | Four-party | PUs represented |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashara | PDP | 768 | 493 | 802 | 21 | 2,084 | 18 / 18 |
| Dafa | APC | 387 | 172 | 359 | 1 | 919 | 11 / 11 |
| Gumbo | APC | 1,151 | 274 | 883 | 32 | 2,340 | 18 / 18 |
| Kilankwa | APC | 1,097 | 723 | 868 | 14 | 2,702 | 28 / 28 |
| Kundu | PDP | 322 | 124 | 526 | 0 | 972 | 8 / 8 |
| Kwali Ward | LP | 1,524 | 2,079 | 1,212 | 90 | 4,905 | 34 / 34 |
| Pai | APC | 1,271 | 1,036 | 797 | 20 | 3,124 | 30 / 30 |
| Wako | APC | 1,366 | 527 | 1,167 | 88 | 3,148 | 21 / 21 |
| Yangoji | APC | 1,035 | 372 | 644 | 5 | 2,056 | 20 / 20 |
| Yebu | APC | 852 | 328 | 625 | 6 | 1,811 | 13 / 13 |
Largest ward rollups
Five local records in context
These notes restate the largest ward aggregates in prose so their leader, margin and representation remain readable outside the table.
- Kwali Ward: LP leads with 2,079 of 4,905 four-party votes, a margin of 555 over APC. The rollup represents 34 of 34 inventory units.
- Wako: APC leads with 1,366 of 3,148 four-party votes, a margin of 199 over PDP. The rollup represents 21 of 21 inventory units.
- Pai: APC leads with 1,271 of 3,124 four-party votes, a margin of 235 over LP. The rollup represents 30 of 30 inventory units.
- Kilankwa: APC leads with 1,097 of 2,702 four-party votes, a margin of 229 over PDP. The rollup represents 28 of 28 inventory units.
- Gumbo: APC leads with 1,151 of 2,340 four-party votes, a margin of 268 over PDP. The rollup represents 18 of 18 inventory units.
Evidence beneath the wards
Largest represented polling-unit rollups
The ten rows below are ordered by four-party vote count. This is not a turnout ranking and does not imply official validation. The source label identifies which selected observation supplied the four party fields.
| Polling unit | Ward | PU leader | Four-party votes | Selected source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
37-05-01-006Kwali Normardic Rugan Fulani | Kwali Ward | APC | 411 | CCIJ |
37-05-09-006Yewuti/Primary School | Wako | APC | 304 | CCIJ |
37-05-01-033Lambata Pri. Sch | Kwali Ward | LP | 290 | CCIJ |
37-05-10-005Kigbe/Kofar Sarki | Yebu | APC | 286 | CCIJ |
37-05-04-015Chukuku Tsoho Village | Kilankwa | APC | 276 | CCIJ |
37-05-01-004Bonugo / Primary School | Kwali Ward | PDP | 266 | CCIJ |
37-05-03-001Pai / Primary School | Pai | PDP | 265 | CCIJ |
37-05-09-005Dangara Kudu/Govt. Sec. Sch. | Wako | PDP | 264 | CCIJ |
37-05-10-004Leda/Primary School | Yebu | APC | 261 | CCIJ |
37-05-02-004Ija Pada / Primary School | Yangoji | APC | 257 | MARK |
How this record was built
From inventory to local aggregation
Apply one policy
Complete CCIJ observations take precedence, followed by complete Mark Essien fallbacks. Kwali's selected records break down as CCIJ 175, MARK 26. The policy is deterministic and preserves the original source label.
Sum without declaring
Party values are summed from PU to ward and area council. Missing observations stay visible instead of being estimated. In Kwali, 201 of 201 units are represented, while the scope still excludes fourteen parties.
What this rollout preserves. The page is designed to survive a later declared-result addition without changing its URL. A future collation record would appear as a separately sourced layer beside this aggregation; it would not overwrite the PU evidence, backfill a missing total, or turn the calculated ward table into an official document. Every future update should retain the review date and show which layer changed, so readers can distinguish new source evidence from a presentation revision. Keeping that contract stable now is more important than generating hundreds of local pages at once.
Questions this page answers
Kwali evidence notes
Did APC officially win Kwali?
This page does not make that claim. It says APC leads Mundx's four-party aggregation of selected polling-unit observations. A statement about the declared area council result requires a sourced collation record at the appropriate result layer.
What does representation mean?
It reports how many inventory units have a selected observation containing all four tracked party values. It does not establish sheet authenticity, capture all eighteen parties, or reproduce every correction made during collation.
Why preserve an unavailable field?
An explicit unavailable value is safer than promoting a calculated PU sum into an official result. It also makes future source work concrete: add the declared layer only with a form level, authority URL, retrieval date and documented confidence.
How is this different from the Kwali place page?
The permanent Kwali place record describes geography across cycles. This contest page is tied to the 2023 presidential election, its evidence layers and its source limitations. The URLs serve different questions and should not duplicate one another.
Provenance
What is official, and what Mundx calculated
The current source register does not contain a declared area council collation record for this geography. Mundx therefore leaves the declared layer empty instead of inferring one from polling units.
Mundx's second layer is a four-party aggregation of selected polling-unit observations. It applies policy all-complete-ccij-first-v1: complete CCIJ records take precedence, then complete Mark Essien records fill remaining units.
- INEC 2023 presidential IReV record.
- State/FCT collation reproduction.
- 176,409 represented units from an inventory of 176,846; 437 remain unresolved nationally.
Canonical PU policy all-complete-ccij-first-v1 · CCIJ commit e38e3bc9a22a
Reuse boundary. Mundx Analytics confirms permission to publish and redistribute the source-derived records in this release. No standard open-data licence or third-party bulk-reuse terms are specified.
Published by Mundx Analytics · reviewed by Mundx Analytics Data Team on 22 September 2026 · official sources retrieved 2026-08-20.