Fix the expected units
The INEC polling-unit register supplies stable territory or state, local, ward and unit codes. Gwagwalada contains 338 inventory units in this snapshot, which prevents source rows from silently changing the denominator.
Local evidence record · Declaration unavailable
Gwagwalada 2023 presidential election evidence
Mundx's selected polling-unit observations place LP first in Gwagwalada's four-party aggregation with 19,495 votes, ahead of APC by 3,032. This is not an official area council declaration. The current source register contains no separately sourced Gwagwalada collation record, so the declared-result field remains unavailable.
Evidence status: complete inventory representation for the four selected parties does not make these figures an EC8C, EC8D or other declared collation result.
Gwagwalada PU layer
Four-party polling-unit aggregation
The selected records total 47,361 votes across APC, LP, PDP and NNPP. LP accounts for 41.2% of that four-party sum; APC accounts for 34.8%.
| Party | Selected PU votes | Four-party share |
|---|---|---|
| LP | 19,495 | 41.2% |
| APC | 16,463 | 34.8% |
| PDP | 10,961 | 23.1% |
| NNPP | 442 | 0.9% |
| Four-party total | 47,361 | 100.0% |
No declared comparison is shown. Mundx will add a declared column only when the source register contains a traceable area council collation record with its authority, form level, retrieval date and confidence.
Ward evidence
How the four-party pattern varies within Gwagwalada
APC leads 3, LP leads 6 and PDP leads 1 of the 10 ward rollups. Every row is calculated from selected PU observations and keeps the representation count beside the vote totals.
| Ward | PU leader | APC | LP | PDP | NNPP | Four-party | PUs represented |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dobi | APC | 3,313 | 360 | 2,223 | 10 | 5,906 | 30 / 30 |
| Gwagwalada Centre | LP | 3,248 | 3,729 | 1,102 | 91 | 8,170 | 56 / 56 |
| Gwako | LP | 1,637 | 1,707 | 1,135 | 29 | 4,508 | 32 / 32 |
| Ibwa | APC | 2,069 | 519 | 1,194 | 23 | 3,805 | 22 / 22 |
| Ikwa | PDP | 570 | 807 | 1,068 | 16 | 2,461 | 20 / 20 |
| Kutunku | LP | 1,749 | 4,472 | 1,083 | 161 | 7,465 | 45 / 45 |
| Paiko | APC | 1,340 | 1,254 | 1,304 | 27 | 3,925 | 26 / 26 |
| Staff Quarters | LP | 1,205 | 4,353 | 648 | 60 | 6,266 | 43 / 43 |
| Tungan Maje | LP | 1,285 | 2,025 | 1,141 | 24 | 4,475 | 34 / 34 |
| Zuba | LP | 47 | 269 | 63 | 1 | 380 | 30 / 30 |
Largest ward rollups
Five local records in context
These notes restate the largest ward aggregates in prose so their leader, margin and representation remain readable outside the table.
- Gwagwalada Centre: LP leads with 3,729 of 8,170 four-party votes, a margin of 481 over APC. The rollup represents 56 of 56 inventory units.
- Kutunku: LP leads with 4,472 of 7,465 four-party votes, a margin of 2,723 over APC. The rollup represents 45 of 45 inventory units.
- Staff Quarters: LP leads with 4,353 of 6,266 four-party votes, a margin of 3,148 over APC. The rollup represents 43 of 43 inventory units.
- Dobi: APC leads with 3,313 of 5,906 four-party votes, a margin of 1,090 over PDP. The rollup represents 30 of 30 inventory units.
- Gwako: LP leads with 1,707 of 4,508 four-party votes, a margin of 70 over APC. The rollup represents 32 of 32 inventory units.
Evidence beneath the wards
Largest represented polling-unit rollups
The ten rows below are ordered by four-party vote count. This is not a turnout ranking and does not imply official validation. The source label identifies which selected observation supplied the four party fields.
| Polling unit | Ward | PU leader | Four-party votes | Selected source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
37-03-01-003Dagiri Iii/ In Front Of Venus House | Gwagwalada Centre | APC | 1,500 | MARK |
37-03-01-015Timber Shade Lea Primary School | Gwagwalada Centre | LP | 530 | CCIJ |
37-03-05-009Kpadoro / Kofar Sarki | Dobi | APC | 473 | CCIJ |
37-03-06-011Ungwan Madaki | Paiko | APC | 469 | CCIJ |
37-03-02-030Radio House Area Open Space | Kutunku | LP | 435 | CCIJ |
37-03-02-029Radio House Area Open Space | Kutunku | LP | 418 | CCIJ |
37-03-07-001Tungan Maje/Tungan Maje Pri. Sch. | Tungan Maje | LP | 401 | CCIJ |
37-03-09-011Ikwa/Yimi Machada. | Ikwa | PDP | 393 | CCIJ |
37-03-05-019Etsu Dagba 2 Lea Primary School Dobi. | Dobi | APC | 342 | CCIJ |
37-03-01-008Ung. Basa Ii/ Infront Of Tanko'S House | Gwagwalada Centre | APC | 314 | CCIJ |
How this record was built
From inventory to local aggregation
Apply one policy
Complete CCIJ observations take precedence, followed by complete Mark Essien fallbacks. Gwagwalada's selected records break down as CCIJ 278, MARK 60. The policy is deterministic and preserves the original source label.
Sum without declaring
Party values are summed from PU to ward and area council. Missing observations stay visible instead of being estimated. In Gwagwalada, 338 of 338 units are represented, while the scope still excludes fourteen parties.
What this rollout preserves. The page is designed to survive a later declared-result addition without changing its URL. A future collation record would appear as a separately sourced layer beside this aggregation; it would not overwrite the PU evidence, backfill a missing total, or turn the calculated ward table into an official document. Every future update should retain the review date and show which layer changed, so readers can distinguish new source evidence from a presentation revision. Keeping that contract stable now is more important than generating hundreds of local pages at once.
Questions this page answers
Gwagwalada evidence notes
Did LP officially win Gwagwalada?
This page does not make that claim. It says LP leads Mundx's four-party aggregation of selected polling-unit observations. A statement about the declared area council result requires a sourced collation record at the appropriate result layer.
What does representation mean?
It reports how many inventory units have a selected observation containing all four tracked party values. It does not establish sheet authenticity, capture all eighteen parties, or reproduce every correction made during collation.
Why preserve an unavailable field?
An explicit unavailable value is safer than promoting a calculated PU sum into an official result. It also makes future source work concrete: add the declared layer only with a form level, authority URL, retrieval date and documented confidence.
How is this different from the Gwagwalada place page?
The permanent Gwagwalada place record describes geography across cycles. This contest page is tied to the 2023 presidential election, its evidence layers and its source limitations. The URLs serve different questions and should not duplicate one another.
Provenance
What is official, and what Mundx calculated
The current source register does not contain a declared area council collation record for this geography. Mundx therefore leaves the declared layer empty instead of inferring one from polling units.
Mundx's second layer is a four-party aggregation of selected polling-unit observations. It applies policy all-complete-ccij-first-v1: complete CCIJ records take precedence, then complete Mark Essien records fill remaining units.
- INEC 2023 presidential IReV record.
- State/FCT collation reproduction.
- 176,409 represented units from an inventory of 176,846; 437 remain unresolved nationally.
Canonical PU policy all-complete-ccij-first-v1 · CCIJ commit e38e3bc9a22a
Reuse boundary. Mundx Analytics confirms permission to publish and redistribute the source-derived records in this release. No standard open-data licence or third-party bulk-reuse terms are specified.
Published by Mundx Analytics · reviewed by Mundx Analytics Data Team on 22 September 2026 · official sources retrieved 2026-08-20.