The EC8D reproduction
The state values reproduce the collation result for the four named parties. Grade B reflects a corroborated table without a direct scanned EC8D form in the current register.
Final state result · North East · Two-layer record
Adamawa 2023 presidential election result
The reproduced Adamawa EC8D collation records PDP first with 417,611 votes and APC second with 182,881. The declared margin was 234,730 votes. Mundx presents that state declaration beside, but never merged with, a four-party polling-unit research layer.
Result of record: the reproduced state collation. Research evidence: selected PU observations for APC, LP, PDP and NNPP under a documented policy.
Adamawa reconciliation
Declared totals beside selected PU observations
The declared four-party collation totals 714,146. The canonical PU layer totals 670,900, which is 93.9% of the declared figure and 43,246 below it.
| Party / scope | Declared collation | PU rollup | Declared minus PU | PU as % declared |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APC | 182,881 | 174,258 | +8,623 | 95.3% |
| LP | 105,648 | 98,620 | +7,028 | 93.3% |
| PDP | 417,611 | 384,666 | +32,945 | 92.1% |
| NNPP | 8,006 | 13,356 | -5,350 | 166.8% |
| Four-party total | 714,146 | 670,900 | +43,246 | 93.9% |
The difference is descriptive, not causal. “Declared minus canonical PU” equals +43,246 for the four tracked parties. It must not be relabelled as missing votes, invalid votes or fraud: the two layers were created at different stages, and the available record does not establish a single cause.
Local evidence
Polling-unit rollups across 21 Adamawa LGAs
These rows are calculated from selected polling-unit records, not declared LGA collation totals. LP leads 2 and PDP leads 19 of the 21 local rollups. Each LGA name opens its permanent place page with ward and polling-unit context.
| LGA | PU leader | APC | LP | PDP | NNPP | Four-party | PUs represented |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demsa | PDP | 5,674 | 7,587 | 16,458 | 2,274 | 31,993 | 177 / 177 |
| Fufore | PDP | 12,532 | 886 | 24,737 | 936 | 39,091 | 274 / 274 |
| Ganye | PDP | 9,838 | 1,141 | 20,295 | 206 | 31,480 | 198 / 198 |
| Gire 1 | PDP | 8,341 | 3,512 | 16,790 | 298 | 28,941 | 152 / 152 |
| Gombi | PDP | 7,476 | 2,313 | 19,867 | 543 | 30,199 | 180 / 180 |
| Guyuk | PDP | 6,153 | 7,404 | 13,531 | 89 | 27,177 | 150 / 150 |
| Hong | PDP | 11,644 | 9,448 | 23,751 | 787 | 45,630 | 225 / 225 |
| Jada | PDP | 8,090 | 926 | 27,297 | 177 | 36,490 | 215 / 215 |
| Lamurde | LP | 3,382 | 8,993 | 8,984 | 187 | 21,546 | 152 / 152 |
| Madagali | PDP | 4,584 | 3,765 | 16,726 | 218 | 25,293 | 160 / 160 |
| Maiha | PDP | 6,384 | 379 | 12,331 | 141 | 19,235 | 122 / 122 |
| Mayo - Belwa | PDP | 11,314 | 1,245 | 20,042 | 426 | 33,027 | 206 / 206 |
| Michika | PDP | 7,063 | 4,600 | 20,117 | 1,801 | 33,581 | 223 / 223 |
| Mubi North | PDP | 9,392 | 11,117 | 19,331 | 1,189 | 41,029 | 276 / 276 |
| Mubi South | PDP | 7,430 | 2,607 | 13,223 | 484 | 23,744 | 143 / 143 |
| Numan | LP | 5,019 | 10,290 | 8,893 | 162 | 24,364 | 170 / 170 |
| Shelleng | PDP | 6,810 | 933 | 14,440 | 1,042 | 23,225 | 124 / 124 |
| Song | PDP | 10,385 | 7,788 | 19,414 | 1,264 | 38,851 | 207 / 207 |
| Toungo | PDP | 4,082 | 686 | 7,087 | 60 | 11,915 | 101 / 101 |
| Yola North | PDP | 15,337 | 9,382 | 30,923 | 610 | 56,252 | 377 / 377 |
| Yola South | PDP | 13,328 | 3,618 | 30,429 | 462 | 47,837 | 272 / 272 |
Largest local rollups
Five LGAs in Adamawa context
The notes restate the largest local aggregations in prose so their leader, margin and evidence coverage remain legible outside the table. A PU-layer lead is not an official LGA declaration.
- Yola North: PDP leads the selected four-party rollup with 30,923 votes, 15,586 ahead of APC. The local total is 56,252 across 377 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
- Yola South: PDP leads the selected four-party rollup with 30,429 votes, 17,101 ahead of APC. The local total is 47,837 across 272 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
- Hong: PDP leads the selected four-party rollup with 23,751 votes, 12,107 ahead of APC. The local total is 45,630 across 225 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
- Mubi North: PDP leads the selected four-party rollup with 19,331 votes, 8,214 ahead of LP. The local total is 41,029 across 276 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
- Fufore: PDP leads the selected four-party rollup with 24,737 votes, 12,205 ahead of APC. The local total is 39,091 across 274 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
Reading the Adamawa record
One contest, two evidence layers
The canonical PU layer
All 4,104 polling units in the inventory have a selected four-party observation. Representation does not authenticate each observation, restore the other fourteen parties or reproduce later collation decisions.
The LGA evidence directory
Yola North has the largest local rollup at 56,252. In Lamurde, LP leads PDP by 9 in the closest proportional margin.
Coverage needs a denominator. The least complete local record is Demsa at 100.0% of its inventory. Cite represented and inventory counts when an LGA has unresolved records. Full representation still does not make the rollup an official declaration.
Questions this page answers
Adamawa result notes
Who led Adamawa in the declared result?
PDP led with 417,611 votes. APC followed on 182,881, a margin of 234,730. The four tracked parties total 714,146; that subtotal is not the complete eighteen-party vote.
What does the local pattern show?
LP leads 2 and PDP leads 19 of the 21 LGA rollups. State-wide, PDP leads the PU layer with 384,666 of 670,900 four-party votes, 210,408 ahead of APC. This does not revise the declared leader.
Why can the declared and PU totals differ?
EC8D is a state collation product. Mundx selects complete four-party PU observations, prioritising CCIJ records and then Mark Essien fallbacks. Scope, availability, transcription and later collation steps can differ. The comparison identifies questions; it does not prove a cause.
How should this page be cited?
Use this permanent URL for the Adamawa declaration and comparison. Name the layer, year and review date. Cite an LGA place record for a local PU claim, and do not call its PU leader a declared winner without a traceable local collation source.
Provenance
What is official, and what Mundx calculated
The declared layer comes from INEC's result collection and a contemporaneous reproduction of the collation table. It is a collation product, not a sum recreated by Mundx.
Mundx's second layer is a four-party aggregation of selected polling-unit observations. It applies policy all-complete-ccij-first-v1: complete CCIJ records take precedence, then complete Mark Essien records fill remaining units.
- INEC 2023 presidential IReV record.
- State/FCT collation reproduction.
- 176,409 represented units from an inventory of 176,846; 437 remain unresolved nationally.
Canonical PU policy all-complete-ccij-first-v1 · CCIJ commit e38e3bc9a22a
Reuse boundary. Mundx Analytics confirms permission to publish and redistribute the source-derived records in this release. No standard open-data licence or third-party bulk-reuse terms are specified.
Published by Mundx Analytics · reviewed by Mundx Analytics Data Team on 22 September 2026 · official sources retrieved 2026-08-20.