The EC8D reproduction
The state values reproduce the collation result for the four named parties. Grade B reflects a corroborated table without a direct scanned EC8D form in the current register.
Final state result · North West · Two-layer record
Zamfara 2023 presidential election result
The reproduced Zamfara EC8D collation records APC first with 298,396 votes and PDP second with 193,978. The declared margin was 104,418 votes. Mundx presents that state declaration beside, but never merged with, a four-party polling-unit research layer.
Result of record: the reproduced state collation. Research evidence: selected PU observations for APC, LP, PDP and NNPP under a documented policy.
Zamfara reconciliation
Declared totals beside selected PU observations
The declared four-party collation totals 498,078. The canonical PU layer totals 342,389, which is 68.7% of the declared figure and 155,689 below it.
| Party / scope | Declared collation | PU rollup | Declared minus PU | PU as % declared |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APC | 298,396 | 196,115 | +102,281 | 65.7% |
| LP | 1,660 | 6,491 | -4,831 | 391.0% |
| PDP | 193,978 | 116,727 | +77,251 | 60.2% |
| NNPP | 4,044 | 23,056 | -19,012 | 570.1% |
| Four-party total | 498,078 | 342,389 | +155,689 | 68.7% |
The difference is descriptive, not causal. “Declared minus canonical PU” equals +155,689 for the four tracked parties. It must not be relabelled as missing votes, invalid votes or fraud: the two layers were created at different stages, and the available record does not establish a single cause.
Local evidence
Polling-unit rollups across 14 Zamfara LGAs
These rows are calculated from selected polling-unit records, not declared LGA collation totals. APC leads 12 and PDP leads 2 of the 14 local rollups. Each LGA name opens its permanent place page with ward and polling-unit context.
| LGA | PU leader | APC | LP | PDP | NNPP | Four-party | PUs represented |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anka | APC | 5,257 | 1,525 | 947 | 2,408 | 10,137 | 164 / 164 |
| Bakura | APC | 23,421 | 28 | 7,723 | 1,516 | 32,688 | 189 / 189 |
| Birnin Magaji | APC | 19,736 | 1,041 | 5,405 | 2,849 | 29,031 | 187 / 187 |
| Bukkuyum | APC | 10,182 | 14 | 4,873 | 1,401 | 16,470 | 193 / 193 |
| Bungudu | PDP | 18,106 | 73 | 18,573 | 960 | 37,712 | 325 / 325 |
| Gummi | APC | 14,603 | 1,357 | 13,127 | 23 | 29,110 | 221 / 221 |
| Gusau | PDP | 17,805 | 1,107 | 24,824 | 3,314 | 47,050 | 564 / 564 |
| Kaura Namoda | APC | 16,557 | 107 | 10,852 | 1,452 | 28,968 | 261 / 261 |
| Maradun | APC | 20,560 | 27 | 4,964 | 1,522 | 27,073 | 195 / 195 |
| Maru | APC | 3,640 | 21 | 239 | 2,713 | 6,613 | 247 / 247 |
| Shinkafi | APC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 172 / 172 |
| Talata Mafara | APC | 14,301 | 101 | 3,571 | 105 | 18,078 | 259 / 259 |
| Tsafe | APC | 20,750 | 1,076 | 14,218 | 2,100 | 38,144 | 301 / 301 |
| Zurmi | APC | 11,197 | 14 | 7,411 | 2,693 | 21,315 | 251 / 251 |
Largest local rollups
Five LGAs in Zamfara context
The notes restate the largest local aggregations in prose so their leader, margin and evidence coverage remain legible outside the table. A PU-layer lead is not an official LGA declaration.
- Gusau: PDP leads the selected four-party rollup with 24,824 votes, 7,019 ahead of APC. The local total is 47,050 across 564 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
- Tsafe: APC leads the selected four-party rollup with 20,750 votes, 6,532 ahead of PDP. The local total is 38,144 across 301 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
- Bungudu: PDP leads the selected four-party rollup with 18,573 votes, 467 ahead of APC. The local total is 37,712 across 325 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
- Bakura: APC leads the selected four-party rollup with 23,421 votes, 15,698 ahead of PDP. The local total is 32,688 across 189 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
- Gummi: APC leads the selected four-party rollup with 14,603 votes, 1,476 ahead of PDP. The local total is 29,110 across 221 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
Reading the Zamfara record
One contest, two evidence layers
The canonical PU layer
All 3,529 polling units in the inventory have a selected four-party observation. Representation does not authenticate each observation, restore the other fourteen parties or reproduce later collation decisions.
The LGA evidence directory
Gusau has the largest local rollup at 47,050. In Shinkafi, APC leads LP by 0 in the closest proportional margin.
Coverage needs a denominator. The least complete local record is Anka at 100.0% of its inventory. Cite represented and inventory counts when an LGA has unresolved records. Full representation still does not make the rollup an official declaration.
Questions this page answers
Zamfara result notes
Who led Zamfara in the declared result?
APC led with 298,396 votes. PDP followed on 193,978, a margin of 104,418. The four tracked parties total 498,078; that subtotal is not the complete eighteen-party vote.
What does the local pattern show?
APC leads 12 and PDP leads 2 of the 14 LGA rollups. State-wide, APC leads the PU layer with 196,115 of 342,389 four-party votes, 79,388 ahead of PDP. This does not revise the declared leader.
Why can the declared and PU totals differ?
EC8D is a state collation product. Mundx selects complete four-party PU observations, prioritising CCIJ records and then Mark Essien fallbacks. Scope, availability, transcription and later collation steps can differ. The comparison identifies questions; it does not prove a cause.
How should this page be cited?
Use this permanent URL for the Zamfara declaration and comparison. Name the layer, year and review date. Cite an LGA place record for a local PU claim, and do not call its PU leader a declared winner without a traceable local collation source.
Provenance
What is official, and what Mundx calculated
The declared layer comes from INEC's result collection and a contemporaneous reproduction of the collation table. It is a collation product, not a sum recreated by Mundx.
Mundx's second layer is a four-party aggregation of selected polling-unit observations. It applies policy all-complete-ccij-first-v1: complete CCIJ records take precedence, then complete Mark Essien records fill remaining units.
- INEC 2023 presidential IReV record.
- State/FCT collation reproduction.
- 176,409 represented units from an inventory of 176,846; 437 remain unresolved nationally.
Canonical PU policy all-complete-ccij-first-v1 · CCIJ commit e38e3bc9a22a
Reuse boundary. Mundx Analytics confirms permission to publish and redistribute the source-derived records in this release. No standard open-data licence or third-party bulk-reuse terms are specified.
Published by Mundx Analytics · reviewed by Mundx Analytics Data Team on 22 September 2026 · official sources retrieved 2026-08-20.