The EC8D reproduction
The state values reproduce the collation result for the four named parties. Grade B reflects a corroborated table without a direct scanned EC8D form in the current register.
Final state result · South West · Two-layer record
Ondo 2023 presidential election result
The reproduced Ondo EC8D collation records APC first with 369,924 votes and PDP second with 115,463. The declared margin was 254,461 votes. Mundx presents that state declaration beside, but never merged with, a four-party polling-unit research layer.
Result of record: the reproduced state collation. Research evidence: selected PU observations for APC, LP, PDP and NNPP under a documented policy.
Ondo reconciliation
Declared totals beside selected PU observations
The declared four-party collation totals 533,667. The canonical PU layer totals 493,916, which is 92.6% of the declared figure and 39,751 below it.
| Party / scope | Declared collation | PU rollup | Declared minus PU | PU as % declared |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APC | 369,924 | 336,930 | +32,994 | 91.1% |
| LP | 47,350 | 43,692 | +3,658 | 92.3% |
| PDP | 115,463 | 106,508 | +8,955 | 92.2% |
| NNPP | 930 | 6,786 | -5,856 | 729.7% |
| Four-party total | 533,667 | 493,916 | +39,751 | 92.6% |
The difference is descriptive, not causal. “Declared minus canonical PU” equals +39,751 for the four tracked parties. It must not be relabelled as missing votes, invalid votes or fraud: the two layers were created at different stages, and the available record does not establish a single cause.
Local evidence
Polling-unit rollups across 18 Ondo LGAs
These rows are calculated from selected polling-unit records, not declared LGA collation totals. APC leads 18 of the 18 local rollups. Each LGA name opens its permanent place page with ward and polling-unit context.
| LGA | PU leader | APC | LP | PDP | NNPP | Four-party | PUs represented |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akoko North East | APC | 20,697 | 1,235 | 1,974 | 900 | 24,806 | 159 / 159 |
| Akoko North West | APC | 21,829 | 587 | 4,868 | 50 | 27,334 | 170 / 170 |
| Akoko South East | APC | 10,143 | 437 | 2,885 | 8 | 13,473 | 80 / 80 |
| Akoko South West | APC | 26,615 | 864 | 4,922 | 29 | 32,430 | 199 / 199 |
| Akure North | APC | 14,197 | 2,778 | 4,414 | 1,068 | 22,457 | 157 / 157 |
| Akure South | APC | 44,759 | 13,526 | 9,153 | 244 | 67,682 | 596 / 596 |
| Ese-Odo | APC | 10,448 | 1,909 | 8,047 | 26 | 20,430 | 143 / 143 |
| Idanre | APC | 11,900 | 2,454 | 9,748 | 76 | 24,178 | 166 / 166 |
| Ifedore | APC | 12,686 | 799 | 4,420 | 37 | 17,942 | 169 / 169 |
| Ilaje | APC | 17,922 | 940 | 6,447 | 37 | 25,346 | 292 / 292 |
| Ileoluji/Okeigbo | APC | 13,912 | 1,506 | 5,918 | 21 | 21,357 | 191 / 191 |
| Irele | APC | 15,437 | 609 | 5,948 | 5 | 21,999 | 155 / 155 |
| Odigbo | APC | 23,731 | 2,816 | 6,668 | 1,480 | 34,695 | 304 / 304 |
| Okitipupa | APC | 23,615 | 1,669 | 10,964 | 27 | 36,275 | 269 / 269 |
| Ondo East | APC | 7,042 | 1,595 | 3,386 | 70 | 12,093 | 106 / 106 |
| Ondo West | APC | 22,857 | 5,426 | 7,895 | 157 | 36,335 | 361 / 361 |
| Ose | APC | 13,622 | 2,052 | 4,557 | 26 | 20,257 | 141 / 141 |
| Owo | APC | 25,518 | 2,490 | 4,294 | 2,525 | 34,827 | 275 / 275 |
Largest local rollups
Five LGAs in Ondo context
The notes restate the largest local aggregations in prose so their leader, margin and evidence coverage remain legible outside the table. A PU-layer lead is not an official LGA declaration.
- Akure South: APC leads the selected four-party rollup with 44,759 votes, 31,233 ahead of LP. The local total is 67,682 across 596 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
- Ondo West: APC leads the selected four-party rollup with 22,857 votes, 14,962 ahead of PDP. The local total is 36,335 across 361 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
- Okitipupa: APC leads the selected four-party rollup with 23,615 votes, 12,651 ahead of PDP. The local total is 36,275 across 269 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
- Owo: APC leads the selected four-party rollup with 25,518 votes, 21,224 ahead of PDP. The local total is 34,827 across 275 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
- Odigbo: APC leads the selected four-party rollup with 23,731 votes, 17,063 ahead of PDP. The local total is 34,695 across 304 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
Reading the Ondo record
One contest, two evidence layers
The canonical PU layer
All 3,933 polling units in the inventory have a selected four-party observation. Representation does not authenticate each observation, restore the other fourteen parties or reproduce later collation decisions.
The LGA evidence directory
Akure South has the largest local rollup at 67,682. In Idanre, APC leads PDP by 2,152 in the closest proportional margin.
Coverage needs a denominator. The least complete local record is Akoko North East at 100.0% of its inventory. Cite represented and inventory counts when an LGA has unresolved records. Full representation still does not make the rollup an official declaration.
Questions this page answers
Ondo result notes
Who led Ondo in the declared result?
APC led with 369,924 votes. PDP followed on 115,463, a margin of 254,461. The four tracked parties total 533,667; that subtotal is not the complete eighteen-party vote.
What does the local pattern show?
APC leads 18 of the 18 LGA rollups. State-wide, APC leads the PU layer with 336,930 of 493,916 four-party votes, 230,422 ahead of PDP. This does not revise the declared leader.
Why can the declared and PU totals differ?
EC8D is a state collation product. Mundx selects complete four-party PU observations, prioritising CCIJ records and then Mark Essien fallbacks. Scope, availability, transcription and later collation steps can differ. The comparison identifies questions; it does not prove a cause.
How should this page be cited?
Use this permanent URL for the Ondo declaration and comparison. Name the layer, year and review date. Cite an LGA place record for a local PU claim, and do not call its PU leader a declared winner without a traceable local collation source.
Provenance
What is official, and what Mundx calculated
The declared layer comes from INEC's result collection and a contemporaneous reproduction of the collation table. It is a collation product, not a sum recreated by Mundx.
Mundx's second layer is a four-party aggregation of selected polling-unit observations. It applies policy all-complete-ccij-first-v1: complete CCIJ records take precedence, then complete Mark Essien records fill remaining units.
- INEC 2023 presidential IReV record.
- State/FCT collation reproduction.
- 176,409 represented units from an inventory of 176,846; 437 remain unresolved nationally.
Canonical PU policy all-complete-ccij-first-v1 · CCIJ commit e38e3bc9a22a
Reuse boundary. Mundx Analytics confirms permission to publish and redistribute the source-derived records in this release. No standard open-data licence or third-party bulk-reuse terms are specified.
Published by Mundx Analytics · reviewed by Mundx Analytics Data Team on 22 September 2026 · official sources retrieved 2026-08-20.