The EC8D reproduction
The state values reproduce the collation result for the four named parties. Grade B reflects a corroborated table without a direct scanned EC8D form in the current register.
Final state result · North West · Two-layer record
Jigawa 2023 presidential election result
The reproduced Jigawa EC8D collation records APC first with 421,390 votes and PDP second with 386,587. The declared margin was 34,803 votes. Mundx presents that state declaration beside, but never merged with, a four-party polling-unit research layer.
Result of record: the reproduced state collation. Research evidence: selected PU observations for APC, LP, PDP and NNPP under a documented policy.
Jigawa reconciliation
Declared totals beside selected PU observations
The declared four-party collation totals 908,100. The canonical PU layer totals 730,360, which is 80.4% of the declared figure and 177,740 below it.
| Party / scope | Declared collation | PU rollup | Declared minus PU | PU as % declared |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APC | 421,390 | 343,623 | +77,767 | 81.5% |
| LP | 1,889 | 3,551 | -1,662 | 188.0% |
| PDP | 386,587 | 302,305 | +84,282 | 78.2% |
| NNPP | 98,234 | 80,881 | +17,353 | 82.3% |
| Four-party total | 908,100 | 730,360 | +177,740 | 80.4% |
The difference is descriptive, not causal. “Declared minus canonical PU” equals +177,740 for the four tracked parties. It must not be relabelled as missing votes, invalid votes or fraud: the two layers were created at different stages, and the available record does not establish a single cause.
Local evidence
Polling-unit rollups across 27 Jigawa LGAs
These rows are calculated from selected polling-unit records, not declared LGA collation totals. APC leads 22 and PDP leads 5 of the 27 local rollups. Each LGA name opens its permanent place page with ward and polling-unit context.
| LGA | PU leader | APC | LP | PDP | NNPP | Four-party | PUs represented |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auyo | APC | 19,031 | 24 | 13,122 | 2,856 | 35,033 | 137 / 137 |
| Babura | APC | 14,856 | 158 | 11,626 | 3,689 | 30,329 | 214 / 214 |
| Birnin Kudu | PDP | 17,396 | 142 | 27,042 | 1,902 | 46,482 | 322 / 322 |
| Birniwa | APC | 13,645 | 35 | 11,759 | 2,270 | 27,709 | 148 / 148 |
| Buji | APC | 6,896 | 100 | 5,786 | 276 | 13,058 | 117 / 117 |
| Dutse | PDP | 10,487 | 513 | 17,724 | 2,957 | 31,681 | 267 / 267 |
| Gagarawa | APC | 4,638 | 47 | 3,367 | 2,025 | 10,077 | 89 / 89 |
| Garki | APC | 15,312 | 190 | 7,787 | 5,538 | 28,827 | 172 / 172 |
| Gumel | PDP | 6,314 | 68 | 8,919 | 3,498 | 18,799 | 103 / 103 |
| Guri | APC | 12,394 | 153 | 5,938 | 5,386 | 23,871 | 113 / 113 |
| Gwaram | PDP | 16,654 | 401 | 27,639 | 10,615 | 55,309 | 298 / 298 |
| Gwiwa | APC | 16,568 | 18 | 7,197 | 920 | 24,703 | 112 / 112 |
| Hadejia | APC | 12,046 | 127 | 9,804 | 6,203 | 28,180 | 138 / 138 |
| Jahun | APC | 17,094 | 20 | 14,379 | 1,723 | 33,216 | 232 / 232 |
| Kafin Hausa | APC | 17,143 | 160 | 13,955 | 3,122 | 34,380 | 239 / 239 |
| Kaugama | APC | 15,677 | 48 | 12,414 | 3,695 | 31,834 | 161 / 161 |
| Kazaure | PDP | 8,668 | 299 | 9,494 | 4,271 | 22,732 | 144 / 144 |
| Kirika Samma | APC | 7,129 | 601 | 6,515 | 1,656 | 15,901 | 149 / 149 |
| Kiyawa | APC | 18,751 | 49 | 17,117 | 704 | 36,621 | 188 / 188 |
| Maigatari | APC | 13,680 | 27 | 12,019 | 1,704 | 27,430 | 161 / 161 |
| Malam Madori | APC | 15,576 | 117 | 14,068 | 3,035 | 32,796 | 154 / 154 |
| Miga | APC | 13,019 | 16 | 9,959 | 749 | 23,743 | 113 / 113 |
| Ringim | APC | 4,632 | 74 | 1,154 | 3,501 | 9,361 | 240 / 240 |
| Roni | APC | 11,206 | 33 | 6,383 | 1,577 | 19,199 | 110 / 110 |
| Sule-Tankarkar | APC | 13,564 | 69 | 12,775 | 1,363 | 27,771 | 167 / 167 |
| Taura | APC | 13,022 | 54 | 8,115 | 5,101 | 26,292 | 157 / 157 |
| Yankwashi | APC | 8,225 | 8 | 6,248 | 545 | 15,026 | 77 / 77 |
Largest local rollups
Five LGAs in Jigawa context
The notes restate the largest local aggregations in prose so their leader, margin and evidence coverage remain legible outside the table. A PU-layer lead is not an official LGA declaration.
- Gwaram: PDP leads the selected four-party rollup with 27,639 votes, 10,985 ahead of APC. The local total is 55,309 across 298 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
- Birnin Kudu: PDP leads the selected four-party rollup with 27,042 votes, 9,646 ahead of APC. The local total is 46,482 across 322 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
- Kiyawa: APC leads the selected four-party rollup with 18,751 votes, 1,634 ahead of PDP. The local total is 36,621 across 188 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
- Auyo: APC leads the selected four-party rollup with 19,031 votes, 5,909 ahead of PDP. The local total is 35,033 across 137 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
- Kafin Hausa: APC leads the selected four-party rollup with 17,143 votes, 3,188 ahead of PDP. The local total is 34,380 across 239 represented units. The selected source layer represents every polling unit in the inventory.
Reading the Jigawa record
One contest, two evidence layers
The canonical PU layer
All 4,522 polling units in the inventory have a selected four-party observation. Representation does not authenticate each observation, restore the other fourteen parties or reproduce later collation decisions.
The LGA evidence directory
Gwaram has the largest local rollup at 55,309. In Sule-Tankarkar, APC leads PDP by 789 in the closest proportional margin.
Coverage needs a denominator. The least complete local record is Auyo at 100.0% of its inventory. Cite represented and inventory counts when an LGA has unresolved records. Full representation still does not make the rollup an official declaration.
Questions this page answers
Jigawa result notes
Who led Jigawa in the declared result?
APC led with 421,390 votes. PDP followed on 386,587, a margin of 34,803. The four tracked parties total 908,100; that subtotal is not the complete eighteen-party vote.
What does the local pattern show?
APC leads 22 and PDP leads 5 of the 27 LGA rollups. State-wide, APC leads the PU layer with 343,623 of 730,360 four-party votes, 41,318 ahead of PDP. This does not revise the declared leader.
Why can the declared and PU totals differ?
EC8D is a state collation product. Mundx selects complete four-party PU observations, prioritising CCIJ records and then Mark Essien fallbacks. Scope, availability, transcription and later collation steps can differ. The comparison identifies questions; it does not prove a cause.
How should this page be cited?
Use this permanent URL for the Jigawa declaration and comparison. Name the layer, year and review date. Cite an LGA place record for a local PU claim, and do not call its PU leader a declared winner without a traceable local collation source.
Provenance
What is official, and what Mundx calculated
The declared layer comes from INEC's result collection and a contemporaneous reproduction of the collation table. It is a collation product, not a sum recreated by Mundx.
Mundx's second layer is a four-party aggregation of selected polling-unit observations. It applies policy all-complete-ccij-first-v1: complete CCIJ records take precedence, then complete Mark Essien records fill remaining units.
- INEC 2023 presidential IReV record.
- State/FCT collation reproduction.
- 176,409 represented units from an inventory of 176,846; 437 remain unresolved nationally.
Canonical PU policy all-complete-ccij-first-v1 · CCIJ commit e38e3bc9a22a
Reuse boundary. Mundx Analytics confirms permission to publish and redistribute the source-derived records in this release. No standard open-data licence or third-party bulk-reuse terms are specified.
Published by Mundx Analytics · reviewed by Mundx Analytics Data Team on 22 September 2026 · official sources retrieved 2026-08-20.